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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-19 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,978.47–6,988.67 (+1.8%) | 3.8 | 12.8% | 20h | 5.4d ago · 66× | 11% ±12 | 30% ±13 | 45% ±14 | 25% ±12 | 50 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±12 | 26% ±31 | 66% ±46 | 5.1d | 0.53% | 0.20% | 147 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 6,950.97 (+1.4%) | 3.0 | 10.4% | 16h | 5.4d ago · 51× | 12% ±16 | 34% ±15 | 34% ±15 | 32% ±15 | 38 | 1% ±2 | 12% ±16 | 37% ±42 | 84% ±51 | 4.0d | 0.42% | 0.17% | 92 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,904.76–6,927.44 (+0.7%) | 1.5 | 9.7% | 13h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 51% ±27 | 27% ±15 | 24% ±14 | 49% ±17 | 34 | 26% ±10 | 52% ±27 | 69% ±45 | 87% ±46 | 1.0d | 0.41% | 0.42% | 78 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 6,860.41–6,879.18 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 8.3% | 12h | 5.2d ago · 78× | 74% ±18 | 26% ±11 | 47% ±13 | 27% ±11 | 60 | 55% ±8 | 74% ±18 | 87% ±23 | 94% ±27 | 2h | 0.45% | 0.26% | 146 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,856.61 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 6,851.79 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 6.5% | 10h | 7.1d ago · 58× | 61% ±29 | 27% ±14 | 32% ±15 | 41% ±16 | 38 | 47% ±12 | 61% ±29 | 70% ±45 | 81% ±54 | 18h | 0.69% | 0.42% | 68 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,825.55 (-0.5%) | 1.0 | 4.8% | 8h | 7.1d ago · 67× | 75% ±20 | 21% ±11 | 46% ±14 | 33% ±13 | 49 | 54% ±9 | 74% ±19 | 79% ±30 | 91% ±32 | 3h | 0.67% | 0.45% | 117 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 6,856.61 | 6,860.41 | 6,888.83 | target | -0.41% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 6,856.61 | 6,740.95 | 6,978.47 | expired | -0.41% |