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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-19 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,978.47–6,988.67 (+1.7%) | 4.1 | 11.8% | 18h | 5.4d ago · 66× | 10% ±12 | 30% ±13 | 45% ±14 | 25% ±12 | 50 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±12 | 23% ±29 | 63% ±55 | 5.8d | 0.53% | 0.20% | 146 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 6,950.97 (+1.3%) | 3.2 | 9.3% | 14h | 5.4d ago · 51× | 13% ±17 | 34% ±15 | 34% ±15 | 32% ±15 | 38 | 1% ±2 | 13% ±16 | 37% ±42 | 83% ±52 | 4.0d | 0.42% | 0.17% | 95 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,904.76–6,927.44 (+0.6%) | 1.5 | 8.7% | 12h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 51% ±27 | 26% ±15 | 26% ±15 | 47% ±17 | 35 | 25% ±10 | 50% ±27 | 69% ±45 | 87% ±47 | 1.0d | 0.44% | 0.42% | 79 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 6,873.02–6,875.72 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 7.8% | 10h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 76% ±17 | 23% ±11 | 50% ±13 | 27% ±11 | 61 | 57% ±8 | 76% ±17 | 87% ±23 | 93% ±29 | 1h | 0.42% | 0.21% | 138 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,861.65 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 6,845.65–6,858.33 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 7.7% | 11h | 7.2d ago · 75× | 66% ±23 | 27% ±12 | 37% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 53 | 51% ±10 | 66% ±22 | 80% ±32 | 88% ±46 | 10h | 0.55% | 0.31% | 104 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,826.28 (-0.5%) | 1.3 | 4.0% | 6h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 61% ±25 | 21% ±11 | 46% ±14 | 33% ±13 | 49 | 43% ±10 | 62% ±25 | 70% ±40 | 88% ±46 | 18h | 0.67% | 0.45% | 90 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,861.65 | 6,875.72 | 6,826.28 | target | +0.71% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,861.65 | 6,950.97 | 6,836.36 | stop | +0.71% |