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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-24 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 30D VAH | 6,978.47–6,988.67 (+1.4%) | 3.2 | 13.3% | 19h | 5.5d ago · 49× | 13% ±13 | 27% ±13 | 44% ±15 | 29% ±13 | 44 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±13 | 31% ±32 | 66% ±47 | 5.1d | 0.46% | 0.25% | 150 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,910.65 (+0.4%) | 1.0 | 8.3% | 11h | 5.4d ago · 66× | 67% ±18 | 34% ±13 | 47% ±14 | 19% ±11 | 50 | 44% ±8 | 67% ±18 | 81% ±27 | 91% ±28 | 18h | 0.64% | 0.13% | 149 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 6,895.69–6,907.03 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 8.8% | 11h | 5.5d ago · 65× | 73% ±23 | 26% ±14 | 28% ±15 | 46% ±16 | 36 | 51% ±11 | 72% ±23 | 86% ±31 | 94% ±34 | 3h | 0.48% | 0.42% | 85 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,885.84 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 6.9% | 9h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 84% ±16 | 21% ±10 | 55% ±12 | 24% ±11 | 63 | 64% ±9 | 84% ±16 | 92% ±20 | 96% ±23 | 1h | 0.39% | 0.16% | 119 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,880.14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 6,868.48 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 8.5% | 12h | 6.5d ago · 41× | 61% ±29 | 22% ±15 | 44% ±18 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 50% ±12 | 61% ±29 | 68% ±46 | 77% ±58 | 4h | 0.91% | 0.50% | 64 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,845.52–6,848.52 (-0.5%) | 1.0 | 8.0% | 12h | 5.4d ago · 75× | 57% ±23 | 24% ±11 | 42% ±13 | 34% ±13 | 54 | 42% ±9 | 57% ±23 | 82% ±31 | 88% ±36 | 14h | 0.52% | 0.21% | 109 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,819.1–6,822.18 (-0.8%) | 1.9 | 4.6% | 7h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 34% ±24 | 25% ±12 | 40% ±14 | 35% ±13 | 50 | 18% ±8 | 35% ±24 | 49% ±44 | 73% ±61 | 3.0d | 0.68% | 0.42% | 89 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,880.14 | 6,885.84 | 6,822.18 | target | +0.69% |
| 14d | POC | long | 6,880.14 | 6,910.65 | 6,819.1 | target | +0.69% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 6,880.14 | 6,978.47 | 6,846.84 | expired | +0.69% |