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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-23 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 30D VAH | 6,978.47–6,988.67 (+2.0%) | 4.8 | 12.6% | 18h | 5.7d ago · 49× | 7% ±11 | 27% ±13 | 44% ±15 | 29% ±13 | 44 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±11 | 16% ±25 | 54% ±56 | 6.6d | 0.46% | 0.25% | 138 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,910.65 (+1.0%) | 2.5 | 7.7% | 10h | 5.6d ago · 66× | 25% ±18 | 34% ±13 | 47% ±14 | 19% ±11 | 50 | 7% ±4 | 25% ±18 | 43% ±34 | 80% ±45 | 3.9d | 0.64% | 0.13% | 137 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,895.69–6,907.03 (+0.8%) | 2.0 | 8.2% | 11h | 5.7d ago · 65× | 47% ±29 | 26% ±14 | 28% ±15 | 46% ±16 | 36 | 16% ±9 | 47% ±29 | 67% ±46 | 88% ±46 | 1.9d | 0.48% | 0.42% | 68 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,885.84 (+0.7%) | 1.6 | 6.4% | 8h | 5.5d ago · 71× | 40% ±21 | 21% ±10 | 55% ±12 | 24% ±11 | 63 | 16% ±6 | 40% ±21 | 61% ±36 | 83% ±42 | 2.0d | 0.39% | 0.16% | 125 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,868.48 (+0.4%) | 1.0 | 7.9% | 11h | 6.6d ago · 32× | 70% ±45 | 25% ±24 | 38% ±26 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 48% ±19 | 68% ±41 | 80% ±55 | 97% | 18h | 0.55% | 0.59% | 27 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,845.52–6,848.52 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 7.6% | 11h | 5.7d ago · 78× | 78% ±22 | 32% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 29% ±13 | 51 | 59% ±11 | 79% ±21 | 88% ±28 | 95% ±30 | 2h | 0.47% | 0.26% | 81 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,839.59 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,819.1–6,822.18 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 4.3% | 6h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 66% ±22 | 25% ±12 | 40% ±14 | 35% ±13 | 50 | 50% ±9 | 67% ±22 | 74% ±35 | 88% ±37 | 11h | 0.68% | 0.42% | 107 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,839.59 | 6,845.52 | 6,810.72 | target | +0.75% |