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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-23 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 30D VAH | 6,978.47–6,988.67 (+2.1%) | 4.9 | 13.2% | 18h | 5.9d ago · 49× | 7% ±11 | 27% ±13 | 44% ±15 | 29% ±13 | 44 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±11 | 16% ±26 | 54% ±56 | 6.6d | 0.46% | 0.25% | 135 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,943.34 (+1.6%) | 3.7 | 9.5% | 12h | 5.9d ago · 66× | 12% ±13 | 34% ±13 | 47% ±14 | 19% ±11 | 50 | 3% ±3 | 12% ±13 | 27% ±31 | 66% ±54 | 5.0d | 0.64% | 0.13% | 143 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,895.74 (+0.9%) | 2.1 | 8.7% | 11h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 29% ±21 | 21% ±10 | 55% ±12 | 24% ±11 | 63 | 8% ±5 | 29% ±20 | 48% ±40 | 82% ±44 | 3.2d | 0.39% | 0.16% | 111 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,895.69–6,907.03 (+0.9%) | 2.1 | 8.7% | 11h | 5.9d ago · 65× | 43% ±31 | 26% ±14 | 28% ±15 | 46% ±16 | 36 | 11% ±8 | 43% ±31 | 66% ±54 | 88% | 2.0d | 0.48% | 0.42% | 60 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,870.75 (+0.5%) | 1.3 | 8.1% | 11h | 6.9d ago · 32× | 63% ±47 | 25% ±24 | 38% ±26 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 36% ±18 | 63% ±47 | 78% | 96% | 18h | 0.55% | 0.59% | 26 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,845.52–6,848.52 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 7.3% | 11h | 5.9d ago · 78× | 76% ±21 | 32% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 29% ±13 | 51 | 56% ±10 | 77% ±21 | 86% ±31 | 94% ±33 | 2h | 0.47% | 0.26% | 87 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,833.42 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,832.08 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.0% | 7h | 7.7d ago · 67× | 85% ±19 | 23% ±12 | 45% ±14 | 32% ±13 | 50 | 69% ±10 | 85% ±19 | 88% ±28 | 94% ±33 | 1h | 0.68% | 0.44% | 83 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,816.92 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 2.8% | 4h | 7.7d ago · 58× | 57% ±24 | 28% ±14 | 33% ±15 | 40% ±15 | 40 | 43% ±10 | 57% ±24 | 67% ±41 | 85% ±49 | 18h | 0.69% | 0.39% | 94 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.