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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-23 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 30D VAH | 6,978.47–6,988.67 (+1.7%) | 4.2 | 13.1% | 18h | 5.8d ago · 49× | 9% ±11 | 27% ±13 | 44% ±15 | 29% ±13 | 44 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±11 | 20% ±28 | 59% ±48 | 6.0d | 0.46% | 0.25% | 149 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,947.7 (+1.3%) | 3.1 | 10.0% | 13h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 19% ±15 | 34% ±13 | 47% ±14 | 19% ±11 | 50 | 5% ±3 | 19% ±15 | 36% ±33 | 73% ±43 | 4.0d | 0.64% | 0.13% | 149 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,898.57 (+0.6%) | 1.3 | 9.3% | 12h | 5.6d ago · 71× | 52% ±21 | 21% ±10 | 55% ±12 | 24% ±11 | 63 | 25% ±8 | 52% ±21 | 72% ±33 | 86% ±39 | 1.0d | 0.39% | 0.16% | 125 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,895.69–6,907.03 (+0.5%) | 1.2 | 8.5% | 10h | 5.8d ago · 65× | 60% ±25 | 26% ±14 | 28% ±15 | 46% ±16 | 36 | 34% ±10 | 60% ±25 | 77% ±37 | 90% ±42 | 22h | 0.48% | 0.42% | 91 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D VAL | 6,861.6–6,873.02 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 8.1% | 11h | 5.8d ago · 51× | 83% ±22 | 32% ±15 | 35% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 38 | 60% ±12 | 83% ±22 | 91% ±28 | 94% ±32 | 2h | 0.45% | 0.28% | 65 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,860.55 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 7D VAL | 6,836.33–6,845.52 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 6.5% | 9h | 7.5d ago · 75× | 73% ±20 | 25% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 33% ±13 | 54 | 53% ±9 | 73% ±20 | 82% ±29 | 91% ±32 | 3h | 0.58% | 0.33% | 117 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,816.92 (-0.6%) | 1.5 | 2.6% | 4h | 7.5d ago · 58× | 41% ±25 | 28% ±14 | 33% ±15 | 40% ±15 | 40 | 25% ±9 | 41% ±25 | 56% ±43 | 82% ±53 | 2.2d | 0.69% | 0.39% | 89 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 6,860.55 | 6,845.52 | 6,909.77 | target | -0.29% |
| 14d | POC | short | 6,860.55 | 6,816.92 | 6,947.7 | target | -0.29% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 6,860.55 | 6,744.89 | 6,978.47 | expired | -0.29% |