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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-20 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 30D VAH | 6,978.47–6,988.67 (+1.0%) | 2.5 | 11.5% | 17h | 5.4d ago · 49× | 16% ±15 | 27% ±13 | 44% ±15 | 29% ±13 | 44 | 4% ±3 | 16% ±15 | 41% ±34 | 73% ±50 | 4.0d | 0.46% | 0.25% | 139 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,950.12–6,963.73 (+0.6%) | 1.5 | 8.9% | 13h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 52% ±27 | 26% ±15 | 26% ±15 | 47% ±17 | 35 | 28% ±10 | 55% ±26 | 72% ±39 | 88% ±44 | 1.0d | 0.44% | 0.42% | 84 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,947.7 (+0.5%) | 1.4 | 8.7% | 13h | 5.4d ago · 66× | 47% ±22 | 34% ±13 | 47% ±14 | 19% ±11 | 50 | 24% ±8 | 47% ±22 | 65% ±35 | 85% ±41 | 1.1d | 0.64% | 0.13% | 121 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,910.22 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,899.02 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 8.8% | 12h | 5.4d ago · 52× | 70% ±28 | 20% ±13 | 43% ±16 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 54% ±12 | 71% ±27 | 91% ±28 | 94% ±33 | 3h | 0.41% | 0.27% | 63 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,879.82 (-0.4%) | 1.1 | 6.1% | 8h | 6.4d ago · 41× | 58% ±27 | 23% ±15 | 42% ±18 | 35% ±18 | 28 | 45% ±11 | 59% ±27 | 68% ±46 | 75% ±60 | 18h | 1.06% | 0.52% | 78 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 6,861.6 (-0.7%) | 1.8 | 7.1% | 10h | 5.4d ago · 63× | 39% ±30 | 20% ±12 | 44% ±15 | 36% ±14 | 42 | 21% ±10 | 39% ±30 | 69% ±52 | 79% | 1.9d | 0.57% | 0.22% | 60 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 7D VAL | 6,837.26–6,844.98 (-0.9%) | 2.4 | 5.6% | 9h | 7.1d ago · 75× | 26% ±19 | 25% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 33% ±13 | 53 | 11% ±5 | 26% ±19 | 48% ±37 | 72% ±51 | 3.8d | 0.57% | 0.34% | 128 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,816.92 (-1.4%) | 3.5 | 2.3% | 3h | 7.1d ago · 58× | 23% ±19 | 26% ±14 | 33% ±15 | 40% ±15 | 39 | 5% ±4 | 23% ±19 | 48% ±40 | 58% ±56 | 4.9d | 0.67% | 0.40% | 106 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.