market-monitor

tokens / S&P 500 / archive

S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-20 16:30 UTC

replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗

close at post 6,868.05 nearest support 14D POC -0.1% · hold 20% nearest resistance 30D VAL +0.1% · hold 27%
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
happened said

Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.

interval volume nodes volume profile top trader signals only accounts making only moves over follow hover a level or zone for its odds as known at post time

VAHPOCVAL bands span the 30d level's ±0.25 ATR test zonewhere a window's candles beginhigh-volume nodelow-volume nodefull-history nodes draw fainter 30d profile at scanfull-history profilescan timeafter the scan · still ticking holdchopbreak top traders boughttop traders soldhover for what it was — long open, long tp, short open, short tp or spot · dot size is notional · click one to follow just that account

levels · as known at this post

hover a row to find it on the chart · drag a header to reorder
levelprice (distance)ATR awayvolume heretime herelast testedreach 24hif testedholdchopbreaktestsback 4hback 1dback 3dback 7dmedian timebounceovershootscans
30D POC · 30D VAH6,978.47–6,988.67 (+1.6%)3.512.9%19h5.3d ago · 49×11% ±1227% ±1344% ±1529% ±13442% ±211% ±1228% ±2966% ±465.1d0.46%0.25%154 → 4
14D VAH6,947.7 (+1.2%)2.510.1%15h5.3d ago · 66×24% ±1834% ±1347% ±1419% ±11506% ±424% ±1843% ±3479% ±463.8d0.64%0.13%138 → 3
HVN zone6,902.5–6,927.44 (+0.5%)1.19.6%13h5.3d ago · 65×62% ±2526% ±1526% ±1547% ±173540% ±1064% ±2479% ±3692% ±3821h0.44%0.42%94 → 2
30D VAL · 7D VAH6,875.28–6,884.34 (+0.1%)0.28.4%11h5.1d ago · 71×75% ±1822% ±1052% ±1226% ±116255% ±876% ±1787% ±2393% ±292h0.42%0.22%141 → 3
at post · 6,868.05
14D POC6,861.6 (-0.1%)0.28.3%12h5.3d ago · 63×79% ±2320% ±1244% ±1536% ±144267% ±1179% ±2390% ±2993% ±351h0.57%0.22%71 → 2
7D POC6,844.7 (-0.3%)0.76.6%10h7.3d ago · 75×63% ±2227% ±1239% ±1334% ±135347% ±964% ±2284% ±3090% ±3318h0.46%0.24%115 → 3
7D VAL · 14D VAL6,821.28–6,827.9 (-0.6%)1.34.3%7h7.1d ago · 67×51% ±2523% ±1240% ±1436% ±134935% ±1052% ±2463% ±4285% ±501.4d0.67%0.43%94 → 2

setups at this candle

windowlevelsideentrytargetstopoutcomereturn
7dVAHshort6,868.056,844.76,894.5stop-0.61%
30dVALshort6,868.056,754.666,978.47expired-0.61%