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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-25 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 30D VAH | 6,978.47–6,988.67 (+0.7%) | 1.8 | 12.2% | 18h | 5.4d ago · 49× | 27% ±19 | 27% ±13 | 44% ±15 | 29% ±13 | 44 | 13% ±6 | 27% ±19 | 56% ±37 | 81% ±45 | 3.0d | 0.46% | 0.25% | 119 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,941.05–6,963.73 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 8.4% | 11h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 74% ±23 | 26% ±14 | 28% ±15 | 46% ±16 | 36 | 53% ±11 | 75% ±23 | 87% ±29 | 94% ±32 | 3h | 0.48% | 0.42% | 85 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,927.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D POC | 6,893.33–6,909.63 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 7.7% | 10h | 5.3d ago · 75× | 57% ±23 | 21% ±11 | 43% ±13 | 35% ±13 | 55 | 40% ±9 | 57% ±23 | 81% ±32 | 90% ±35 | 21h | 0.45% | 0.23% | 110 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,888.89–6,904.76 (-0.3%) | 0.8 | 8.6% | 11h | 5.3d ago · 62× | 73% ±20 | 27% ±12 | 27% ±12 | 46% ±14 | 49 | 53% ±9 | 73% ±20 | 90% ±24 | 94% ±27 | 3h | 0.50% | 0.49% | 114 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,870.75 (-0.8%) | 2.0 | 8.1% | 12h | 6.4d ago · 41× | 34% ±31 | 22% ±15 | 44% ±18 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 22% ±11 | 34% ±31 | 57% ±56 | 72% | 2.8d | 0.91% | 0.50% | 56 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC | 6,847.67–6,851.66 (-1.1%) | 2.6 | 7.4% | 12h | 5.3d ago · 67× | 24% ±18 | 21% ±11 | 46% ±14 | 33% ±13 | 51 | 10% ±5 | 24% ±18 | 45% ±37 | 68% ±53 | 3.6d | 0.63% | 0.32% | 130 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,826.91 (-1.5%) | 3.5 | 5.4% | 8h | 7.1d ago · 58× | 22% ±19 | 30% ±14 | 32% ±14 | 39% ±15 | 41 | 4% ±4 | 22% ±19 | 49% ±40 | 59% ±56 | 4.8d | 0.71% | 0.38% | 113 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,927.6 | 6,985.57 | 6,893.33 | stop | -0.78% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 6,927.6 | 6,996.8 | 6,847.67 | expired | -0.78% |