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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-25 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 30D VAH | 6,978.47–6,988.67 (+0.6%) | 1.5 | 12.0% | 18h | 5.6d ago · 49× | 34% ±22 | 27% ±13 | 44% ±15 | 29% ±13 | 44 | 19% ±7 | 34% ±21 | 61% ±39 | 83% ±42 | 2.2d | 0.46% | 0.25% | 111 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,938.78–6,945.58 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 8.5% | 12h | 5.6d ago · 65× | 77% ±24 | 26% ±14 | 28% ±15 | 46% ±16 | 36 | 59% ±11 | 78% ±24 | 88% ±32 | 93% ±34 | 2h | 0.48% | 0.42% | 74 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,936.29 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,910.44 (-0.4%) | 0.9 | 7.4% | 10h | 5.5d ago · 52× | 61% ±28 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 47% ±11 | 61% ±26 | 84% ±36 | 91% ±40 | 18h | 0.42% | 0.26% | 75 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,884.35–6,907.03 (-0.4%) | 1.0 | 8.0% | 11h | 5.5d ago · 62× | 70% ±20 | 27% ±12 | 27% ±12 | 46% ±14 | 49 | 48% ±9 | 71% ±20 | 87% ±25 | 93% ±30 | 18h | 0.50% | 0.49% | 122 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC · 30D VAL | 6,870.75–6,896.11 (-0.6%) | 1.4 | 9.4% | 13h | 6.6d ago · 75× | 35% ±24 | 23% ±11 | 43% ±13 | 34% ±13 | 55 | 20% ±8 | 35% ±24 | 62% ±43 | 75% ±60 | 2.2d | 0.59% | 0.28% | 91 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 6,845.43–6,847.67 (-1.3%) | 3.1 | 7.1% | 11h | 5.5d ago · 67× | 17% ±15 | 21% ±11 | 46% ±14 | 33% ±13 | 51 | 8% ±4 | 17% ±15 | 39% ±32 | 66% ±46 | 4.9d | 0.63% | 0.32% | 155 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,826.91 (-1.6%) | 3.8 | 5.3% | 8h | 7.3d ago · 58× | 22% ±19 | 30% ±14 | 32% ±14 | 39% ±15 | 41 | 4% ±4 | 22% ±18 | 48% ±37 | 58% ±56 | 4.8d | 0.71% | 0.38% | 118 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.