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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-02 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,936.81 (+1.3%) | 3.2 | 5.7% | 8h | 7.6d ago · 49× | 12% ±12 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±12 | 33% ±31 | 60% ±48 | 5.1d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 159 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 6,925.91–6,928.09 (+1.1%) | 2.8 | 3.7% | 5h | 21.5d ago · 30× | 30% ±45 | 25% ±21 | 5% ±10 | 70% ±22 | 17 | 13% ±14 | 30% ±45 | 57% | 83% | 2.8d | 0.32% | 0.65% | 21 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,899.59–6,910.03 (+0.7%) | 1.9 | 11.1% | 14h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 30% ±19 | 27% ±11 | 49% ±12 | 23% ±10 | 66 | 10% ±5 | 30% ±19 | 48% ±35 | 81% ±44 | 3.4d | 0.50% | 0.17% | 136 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,882.59–6,883.24 (+0.5%) | 1.2 | 10.1% | 13h | 5.6d ago · 78× | 54% ±24 | 30% ±12 | 38% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 54 | 35% ±9 | 54% ±24 | 72% ±36 | 91% ±40 | 22h | 0.46% | 0.27% | 100 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,865.96 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 11.6% | 16h | 5.6d ago · 46× | 70% ±24 | 28% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 33% ±15 | 36 | 50% ±11 | 70% ±24 | 86% ±31 | 94% ±32 | 4h | 0.41% | 0.30% | 82 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,853.97–6,908.47 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 9.9% | 14h | 5.6d ago · 65× | 76% ±22 | 26% ±14 | 26% ±14 | 49% ±15 | 40 | 59% ±10 | 76% ±22 | 85% ±31 | 93% ±36 | 2h | 0.48% | 0.42% | 85 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,848.24 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 6,842.76 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 8.0% | 12h | 7.4d ago · 58× | 61% ±27 | 29% ±14 | 33% ±14 | 38% ±15 | 42 | 46% ±11 | 61% ±27 | 71% ±45 | 84% ±51 | 18h | 0.69% | 0.37% | 80 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,816.92–6,823.31 (-0.4%) | 0.9 | 4.8% | 7h | 6.6d ago · 67× | 67% ±20 | 23% ±11 | 46% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 52 | 48% ±9 | 67% ±20 | 77% ±31 | 87% ±38 | 10h | 0.74% | 0.42% | 129 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 6,848.24 | 6,816.92 | 6,936.81 | target | +1.99% |