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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-02 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,934.63 (+0.8%) | 1.8 | 5.2% | 7h | 7.4d ago · 49× | 24% ±19 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 10% ±6 | 24% ±19 | 52% ±40 | 78% ±47 | 3.0d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 113 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 6,925.91–6,928.09 (+0.7%) | 1.5 | 4.0% | 6h | 21.2d ago · 30× | 66% ±42 | 25% ±21 | 5% ±10 | 70% ±22 | 17 | 22% ±15 | 66% ±42 | 84% ±50 | 97% | 22h | 0.32% | 0.65% | 30 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,899.59–6,904.72 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 11.7% | 15h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 72% ±17 | 27% ±11 | 49% ±12 | 23% ±10 | 66 | 50% ±8 | 72% ±17 | 84% ±24 | 92% ±26 | 10h | 0.50% | 0.17% | 157 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 6,888.85–6,906.29 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 11.1% | 15h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 75% ±22 | 26% ±14 | 26% ±14 | 49% ±15 | 40 | 58% ±10 | 76% ±22 | 87% ±30 | 93% ±34 | 2h | 0.48% | 0.42% | 88 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 6,883.24 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 10.8% | 14h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 77% ±22 | 28% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 32% ±12 | 54 | 60% ±11 | 77% ±22 | 90% ±26 | 96% ±26 | 1h | 0.48% | 0.34% | 82 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,880.18 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 6,861.35–6,865.96 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 12.8% | 17h | 5.2d ago · 63× | 71% ±23 | 24% ±13 | 39% ±14 | 37% ±14 | 44 | 54% ±10 | 71% ±23 | 86% ±30 | 89% ±44 | 2h | 0.55% | 0.29% | 91 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,816.92–6,837.45 (-0.6%) | 1.4 | 7.5% | 11h | 6.4d ago · 67× | 40% ±24 | 25% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 33% ±13 | 52 | 23% ±8 | 39% ±24 | 57% ±43 | 78% ±58 | 2.5d | 0.73% | 0.41% | 98 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 6,880.18 | 6,904.72 | 6,837.45 | stop | -1.19% |
| 30d | POC | long | 6,880.18 | 6,934.63 | 6,816.92 | stop | -1.19% |