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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-02 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,932.45 (+0.8%) | 1.7 | 4.5% | 7h | 7.5d ago · 49× | 32% ±21 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 13% ±6 | 32% ±21 | 57% ±40 | 80% ±45 | 2.9d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 112 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 6,925.91–6,928.09 (+0.7%) | 1.5 | 4.0% | 6h | 21.3d ago · 30× | 66% ±42 | 25% ±21 | 5% ±10 | 70% ±22 | 17 | 21% ±14 | 65% ±42 | 84% ±50 | 97% | 22h | 0.32% | 0.65% | 31 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,899.59–6,902.95 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 12.0% | 16h | 5.3d ago · 71× | 73% ±17 | 27% ±11 | 49% ±12 | 23% ±10 | 66 | 51% ±8 | 73% ±17 | 85% ±23 | 93% ±26 | 10h | 0.50% | 0.17% | 158 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,882.59–6,883.24 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 12.7% | 17h | 5.5d ago · 78× | 79% ±21 | 30% ±12 | 38% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 54 | 60% ±11 | 80% ±21 | 91% ±25 | 96% ±29 | 1h | 0.46% | 0.27% | 83 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,880.05 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 6,874.68 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 13.3% | 18h | 5.3d ago · 48× | 73% ±28 | 29% ±14 | 33% ±15 | 38% ±15 | 39 | 58% ±12 | 73% ±27 | 83% ±43 | 84% | 2h | 0.54% | 0.38% | 62 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,849.61–6,851.79 (-0.4%) | 0.9 | 10.7% | 16h | 5.5d ago · 62× | 73% ±19 | 27% ±12 | 25% ±12 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 49% ±9 | 73% ±19 | 90% ±23 | 94% ±28 | 18h | 0.49% | 0.49% | 122 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,837.45–6,845.1 (-0.5%) | 1.1 | 9.3% | 14h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 52% ±23 | 26% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 34% ±13 | 52 | 34% ±9 | 52% ±23 | 65% ±38 | 86% ±40 | 1.7d | 0.69% | 0.37% | 110 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,816.92 (-0.9%) | 2.1 | 3.1% | 5h | 6.5d ago · 41× | 35% ±28 | 23% ±15 | 46% ±17 | 31% ±16 | 32 | 19% ±10 | 35% ±28 | 55% ±49 | 67% ±65 | 2.8d | 0.84% | 0.52% | 65 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 6,880.05 | 6,932.45 | 6,816.92 | stop | -0.92% |