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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-03 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,931.21 (+3.3%) | 5.9 | 5.6% | 8h | 7.5d ago · 49× | 6% ±10 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 2% ±2 | 6% ±10 | 13% ±25 | 42% ±56 | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 122 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,904.09–6,906.51 (+2.9%) | 5.2 | 12.9% | 17h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 7% ±11 | 27% ±11 | 49% ±12 | 23% ±10 | 66 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±11 | 22% ±31 | 60% ±56 | 6.0d | 0.50% | 0.17% | 126 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,876.01–6,883.51 (+2.4%) | 4.4 | 16.1% | 22h | 5.5d ago · 78× | 11% ±16 | 30% ±12 | 38% ±13 | 32% ±12 | 54 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±16 | 22% ±36 | 63% ±67 | 5.0d | 0.44% | 0.28% | 84 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,843.57–6,848.41 (+2.0%) | 3.5 | 10.9% | 17h | 6.3d ago · 49× | 37% ±42 | 25% ±16 | 39% ±18 | 36% ±18 | 28 | 16% ±13 | 37% ±42 | 75% ±60 | 96% | 1.5d | 0.53% | 0.43% | 29 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,843.46–6,908.56 (+2.0%) | 3.5 | 10.9% | 17h | 5.5d ago · 65× | 39% ±34 | 26% ±14 | 26% ±14 | 49% ±15 | 40 | 6% ±7 | 39% ±34 | 59% ±56 | 86% | 2.0d | 0.48% | 0.42% | 47 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,815.15 (+1.5%) | 2.8 | 3.3% | 5h | 6.4d ago · 32× | 35% ±47 | 24% ±22 | 35% ±25 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 9% ±12 | 35% ±47 | 65% | 96% | 2.0d | 0.35% | 0.59% | 21 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,711.81 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 6,711.81 | 6,656.13 | 6,883.51 | expired | -2.44% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 6,711.81 | 6,648.87 | 6,883.51 | expired | -2.44% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 6,711.81 | 6,595.76 | 6,876.01 | stop | -2.44% |