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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-03 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,936.87 (+2.0%) | 3.4 | 8.4% | 12h | 7.4d ago · 49× | 12% ±12 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 1% ±2 | 12% ±12 | 31% ±30 | 57% ±48 | 6.0d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 163 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,908.93–6,911.35 (+1.6%) | 2.7 | 11.9% | 16h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 22% ±16 | 27% ±11 | 49% ±12 | 23% ±10 | 66 | 5% ±4 | 23% ±16 | 41% ±32 | 77% ±42 | 4.0d | 0.50% | 0.17% | 153 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,876.01–6,883.51 (+1.1%) | 1.9 | 17.5% | 1.0d | 5.4d ago · 78× | 32% ±24 | 29% ±12 | 38% ±13 | 32% ±12 | 54 | 13% ±7 | 32% ±24 | 54% ±44 | 84% ±50 | 3.0d | 0.45% | 0.28% | 88 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,843.57–6,848.41 (+0.7%) | 1.1 | 11.8% | 18h | 6.3d ago · 49× | 77% ±27 | 25% ±16 | 39% ±18 | 36% ±18 | 28 | 47% ±13 | 77% ±27 | 90% ±34 | 98% | 11h | 0.53% | 0.43% | 55 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,843.46–6,908.56 (+0.7%) | 1.1 | 11.7% | 18h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 64% ±22 | 27% ±14 | 25% ±13 | 48% ±15 | 41 | 43% ±9 | 64% ±22 | 79% ±33 | 92% ±31 | 20h | 0.52% | 0.42% | 107 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,815.15 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 3.7% | 6h | 6.4d ago · 32× | 88% ±32 | 24% ±22 | 35% ±25 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 54% ±21 | 88% ±32 | 92% | 96% | 3h | 0.35% | 0.59% | 22 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,798.04 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.