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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-03 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,911.35–6,931.21 (+1.4%) | 2.5 | 9.9% | 14h | 5.1d ago · 71× | 21% ±16 | 28% ±11 | 49% ±12 | 24% ±10 | 67 | 5% ±4 | 21% ±16 | 41% ±32 | 72% ±44 | 4.3d | 0.51% | 0.17% | 156 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,876.01–6,883.51 (+0.9%) | 1.5 | 15.9% | 23h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 40% ±26 | 30% ±12 | 38% ±13 | 32% ±12 | 55 | 22% ±9 | 40% ±26 | 63% ±42 | 88% ±45 | 2.1d | 0.47% | 0.29% | 86 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,843.46–6,908.56 (+0.4%) | 0.7 | 10.8% | 17h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 73% ±21 | 27% ±14 | 25% ±13 | 48% ±15 | 41 | 53% ±10 | 73% ±20 | 86% ±28 | 94% ±26 | 3h | 0.52% | 0.42% | 106 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,841.15 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 10.5% | 17h | 6.3d ago · 44× | 83% ±25 | 26% ±16 | 45% ±18 | 29% ±17 | 28 | 61% ±13 | 83% ±24 | 93% ±30 | 98% | 2h | 0.62% | 0.41% | 52 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,816.59 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,809.49–6,812.1 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.2% | 6h | 6.3d ago · 67× | 73% ±23 | 23% ±11 | 46% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 52 | 59% ±10 | 73% ±22 | 82% ±34 | 88% ±46 | 8h | 0.74% | 0.42% | 90 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.