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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-04 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HVN zone | 6,942.53–6,948.19 (+1.0%) | 1.7 | 9.9% | 14h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 48% ±26 | 27% ±14 | 25% ±13 | 48% ±15 | 41 | 19% ±8 | 49% ±25 | 69% ±41 | 88% ±45 | 1.1d | 0.52% | 0.42% | 87 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,911.35–6,931.21 (+0.5%) | 0.9 | 10.2% | 14h | 5.1d ago · 71× | 63% ±17 | 28% ±11 | 49% ±12 | 24% ±10 | 67 | 40% ±7 | 63% ±17 | 78% ±26 | 90% ±30 | 21h | 0.51% | 0.17% | 179 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,876.01–6,883.51 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 16.3% | 23h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 79% ±22 | 30% ±12 | 38% ±13 | 32% ±12 | 55 | 59% ±11 | 79% ±22 | 91% ±28 | 95% ±29 | 1h | 0.47% | 0.29% | 80 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,875.45 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 6,841.15 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 10.9% | 18h | 7.0d ago · 58× | 53% ±22 | 30% ±14 | 33% ±14 | 37% ±14 | 43 | 38% ±9 | 54% ±22 | 64% ±38 | 84% ±42 | 22h | 0.71% | 0.38% | 115 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,809.49–6,812.1 (-0.9%) | 1.6 | 4.3% | 7h | 6.3d ago · 67× | 48% ±24 | 23% ±11 | 46% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 52 | 30% ±9 | 49% ±23 | 65% ±38 | 83% ±42 | 1.3d | 0.74% | 0.42% | 105 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,875.45 | 6,876.25 | 6,793.8 | target | -0.78% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,875.45 | 6,883.51 | 6,828.51 | target | -0.78% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 6,875.45 | 6,876.01 | 6,787.58 | target | -0.78% |