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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-04 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HVN zone | 6,942.53–6,948.19 (+1.1%) | 1.8 | 10.1% | 14h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 50% ±27 | 27% ±14 | 25% ±13 | 48% ±15 | 41 | 18% ±8 | 51% ±26 | 69% ±41 | 88% ±44 | 1.0d | 0.52% | 0.42% | 82 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,911.35–6,925.55 (+0.6%) | 1.1 | 10.4% | 14h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 57% ±19 | 28% ±11 | 49% ±12 | 24% ±10 | 67 | 33% ±8 | 57% ±19 | 74% ±30 | 88% ±32 | 22h | 0.51% | 0.17% | 148 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,876.01–6,876.25 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 17.7% | 1.1d | 5.4d ago · 78× | 78% ±21 | 30% ±12 | 38% ±13 | 32% ±12 | 55 | 59% ±10 | 78% ±21 | 90% ±26 | 95% ±29 | 1h | 0.47% | 0.29% | 88 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,868.74 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,809.49–6,841.15 (-0.4%) | 0.7 | 11.1% | 18h | 6.4d ago · 67× | 60% ±21 | 25% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 34% ±13 | 53 | 40% ±8 | 60% ±20 | 71% ±34 | 86% ±39 | 20h | 0.74% | 0.44% | 129 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.