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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-06 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,899.1–6,914.22 (+2.1%) | 3.6 | 13.1% | 18h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 11% ±11 | 28% ±11 | 49% ±12 | 24% ±10 | 67 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±11 | 26% ±27 | 60% ±48 | 6.2d | 0.51% | 0.17% | 174 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 6,875.28–6,876.25 (+1.8%) | 3.0 | 19.6% | 1.2d | 5.5d ago · 78× | 18% ±18 | 30% ±12 | 39% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 3% ±3 | 18% ±18 | 38% ±39 | 74% ±61 | 4.3d | 0.49% | 0.27% | 102 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,834.97–6,837.8 (+1.2%) | 2.0 | 11.3% | 17h | 5.5d ago · 65× | 45% ±28 | 27% ±13 | 27% ±13 | 47% ±15 | 42 | 14% ±8 | 45% ±28 | 66% ±46 | 87% ±47 | 1.9d | 0.53% | 0.42% | 72 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,806.66–6,826.62 (+0.8%) | 1.3 | 5.2% | 7h | 6.3d ago · 49× | 68% ±35 | 23% ±15 | 40% ±18 | 37% ±18 | 29 | 36% ±14 | 68% ±32 | 83% ±43 | 97% | 20h | 0.45% | 0.49% | 45 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,754.44 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 6,754.44 | 6,674.39 | 6,875.28 | expired | +0.24% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 6,754.44 | 6,669.71 | 6,876.25 | expired | +0.24% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 6,754.44 | 6,646.88 | 6,876.01 | expired | +0.24% |