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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-05 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,899.1–6,914.22 (+1.0%) | 1.9 | 12.0% | 17h | 5.5d ago · 71× | 26% ±18 | 28% ±11 | 49% ±12 | 24% ±10 | 67 | 8% ±5 | 26% ±18 | 47% ±35 | 76% ±48 | 3.6d | 0.51% | 0.17% | 142 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 6,875.28–6,876.25 (+0.7%) | 1.2 | 17.9% | 1.1d | 5.7d ago · 78× | 55% ±23 | 30% ±12 | 39% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 34% ±9 | 55% ±23 | 73% ±35 | 90% ±33 | 22h | 0.49% | 0.27% | 107 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,834.97–6,837.8 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 10.3% | 16h | 5.7d ago · 65× | 78% ±22 | 27% ±13 | 27% ±13 | 47% ±15 | 42 | 62% ±10 | 79% ±21 | 89% ±28 | 93% ±35 | 1h | 0.53% | 0.42% | 88 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,829.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,806.66–6,826.62 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 9.5% | 14h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 69% ±22 | 25% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 34% ±13 | 54 | 52% ±10 | 70% ±22 | 79% ±33 | 87% ±47 | 11h | 0.75% | 0.41% | 103 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,829.91 | 6,875.28 | 6,804.65 | stop | -1.34% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,829.91 | 6,876.25 | 6,811.37 | stop | -1.34% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 6,829.91 | 6,876.01 | 6,787.3 | stop | -1.34% |