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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-05 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,909.64–6,917.05 (+1.6%) | 2.8 | 10.4% | 14h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 19% ±15 | 28% ±11 | 49% ±12 | 24% ±10 | 67 | 4% ±3 | 19% ±15 | 38% ±32 | 70% ±45 | 4.4d | 0.51% | 0.17% | 158 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,876.01–6,876.25 (+1.1%) | 1.9 | 19.6% | 1.2d | 5.5d ago · 78× | 36% ±26 | 30% ±12 | 39% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 15% ±8 | 36% ±26 | 57% ±49 | 86% ±49 | 2.6d | 0.49% | 0.27% | 80 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,836.31–6,844.59 (+0.5%) | 0.9 | 10.6% | 17h | 6.3d ago · 49× | 78% ±26 | 24% ±16 | 41% ±18 | 35% ±17 | 29 | 52% ±13 | 78% ±26 | 91% ±33 | 98% | 10h | 0.53% | 0.46% | 58 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,834.97–6,837.8 (+0.5%) | 0.8 | 10.5% | 16h | 5.5d ago · 65× | 71% ±20 | 27% ±13 | 27% ±13 | 47% ±15 | 42 | 49% ±9 | 70% ±20 | 84% ±27 | 93% ±29 | 5h | 0.53% | 0.42% | 119 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,815.15 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 5.9% | 9h | 6.4d ago · 32× | 88% ±32 | 22% ±21 | 33% ±24 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 58% ±21 | 88% ±32 | 92% | 96% | 2h | 0.15% | 0.59% | 22 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,802.42 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.