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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-05 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,901.51–6,919.88 (+1.2%) | 2.1 | 13.5% | 18h | 5.6d ago · 71× | 24% ±17 | 28% ±11 | 49% ±12 | 24% ±10 | 67 | 8% ±4 | 24% ±17 | 45% ±34 | 75% ±42 | 3.7d | 0.51% | 0.17% | 152 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,876.01–6,876.25 (+0.8%) | 1.4 | 19.2% | 1.1d | 5.8d ago · 78× | 48% ±24 | 30% ±12 | 38% ±13 | 32% ±12 | 55 | 28% ±9 | 49% ±24 | 69% ±41 | 89% ±43 | 1.3d | 0.47% | 0.29% | 98 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,843.46–6,908.56 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 10.7% | 18h | 5.8d ago · 65× | 74% ±21 | 27% ±13 | 27% ±13 | 47% ±15 | 42 | 53% ±10 | 75% ±21 | 87% ±27 | 93% ±34 | 3h | 0.53% | 0.42% | 104 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,841.15–6,844.59 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 10.4% | 17h | 6.7d ago · 49× | 81% ±25 | 24% ±16 | 41% ±18 | 35% ±17 | 29 | 55% ±13 | 82% ±25 | 93% ±30 | 98% | 4h | 0.53% | 0.46% | 53 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,821.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 6,815.15 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.9% | 8h | 6.8d ago · 41× | 60% ±29 | 22% ±14 | 44% ±17 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 48% ±12 | 61% ±28 | 72% ±44 | 79% ±57 | 18h | 0.88% | 0.53% | 69 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 6,821.91 | 6,764.99 | 6,876.1 | target | +0.99% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 6,821.91 | 6,751.7 | 6,876.25 | target | +0.99% |