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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-11 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,911.27–6,911.37 (+2.0%) | 3.6 | 5.0% | 7h | 5.3d ago · 66× | 11% ±11 | 31% ±12 | 47% ±13 | 22% ±11 | 53 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±11 | 28% ±28 | 56% ±49 | 6.4d | 0.58% | 0.18% | 173 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 6,866.59–6,874.97 (+1.3%) | 2.4 | 16.3% | 24h | 5.3d ago · 51× | 16% ±17 | 32% ±14 | 37% ±15 | 31% ±14 | 42 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±17 | 35% ±38 | 72% ±62 | 4.5d | 0.50% | 0.23% | 100 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,833.46 (+0.8%) | 1.5 | 10.2% | 15h | 5.1d ago · 71× | 41% ±20 | 23% ±10 | 51% ±12 | 26% ±10 | 67 | 17% ±6 | 41% ±20 | 60% ±34 | 78% ±47 | 2.0d | 0.40% | 0.16% | 141 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,821.91–6,893.4 (+0.7%) | 1.2 | 8.5% | 12h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 60% ±22 | 28% ±13 | 28% ±13 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 37% ±9 | 59% ±22 | 74% ±35 | 87% ±38 | 22h | 0.56% | 0.42% | 113 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 6,787.23 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 4.7% | 7h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 73% ±22 | 30% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 57 | 56% ±10 | 72% ±21 | 85% ±29 | 94% ±32 | 2h | 0.52% | 0.33% | 99 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,775.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,768.29–6,772.12 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.2% | 7h | 6.3d ago · 58× | 64% ±26 | 25% ±13 | 37% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 45 | 47% ±11 | 65% ±25 | 75% ±38 | 82% ±53 | 18h | 0.74% | 0.46% | 81 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,731 (-0.7%) | 1.2 | 2.0% | 3h | 7.1d ago · 67× | 63% ±22 | 22% ±11 | 44% ±13 | 34% ±12 | 56 | 38% ±9 | 64% ±22 | 75% ±35 | 91% ±32 | 19h | 0.68% | 0.44% | 113 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,775.91 | 6,874.97 | 6,747.06 | stop | -1.17% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 6,775.91 | 6,866.59 | 6,742.56 | stop | -1.17% |