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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-12 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,911.27–6,913.02 (+3.3%) | 5.7 | 5.2% | 7h | 5.2d ago · 66× | 8% ±11 | 31% ±12 | 47% ±13 | 22% ±11 | 53 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±10 | 18% ±26 | 46% ±56 | 6.9d | 0.58% | 0.18% | 143 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 6,866.59–6,877.23 (+2.6%) | 4.5 | 16.8% | 1.0d | 5.3d ago · 51× | 8% ±14 | 32% ±14 | 37% ±15 | 31% ±14 | 42 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±14 | 16% ±32 | 57% ±69 | 5.0d | 0.50% | 0.23% | 88 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,830.58 (+2.1%) | 3.6 | 10.4% | 15h | 5.1d ago · 71× | 13% ±14 | 23% ±10 | 51% ±12 | 26% ±10 | 67 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±14 | 27% ±33 | 65% ±54 | 6.0d | 0.40% | 0.16% | 129 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,821.91–6,893.4 (+1.9%) | 3.3 | 8.8% | 13h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 35% ±30 | 28% ±13 | 28% ±13 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 5% ±6 | 35% ±30 | 57% ±56 | 83% | 2.8d | 0.56% | 0.42% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL · 7D POC | 6,768.29–6,773.16 (+1.1%) | 2.0 | 6.0% | 9h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 45% ±26 | 28% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 32% ±12 | 57 | 19% ±8 | 45% ±25 | 63% ±42 | 88% ±46 | 2.1d | 0.55% | 0.40% | 87 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,743.86 (+0.8%) | 1.3 | 3.0% | 4h | 6.2d ago · 49× | 67% ±31 | 24% ±15 | 33% ±17 | 42% ±18 | 30 | 38% ±13 | 67% ±31 | 82% ±44 | 98% | 20h | 0.44% | 0.50% | 53 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,692.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 6,692.66 | 6,605.94 | 6,773.16 | expired | -0.10% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 6,692.66 | 6,552.62 | 6,877.23 | expired | -0.10% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 6,692.66 | 6,549.68 | 6,866.59 | expired | -0.10% |