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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-12 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 6,921.99–6,925.57 (+3.4%) | 6.3 | 1.9% | 3h | 21.1d ago · 30× | building | 25% ±21 | 5% ±10 | 70% ±22 | 17 | building | building | building | building | — | 0.32% | 0.65% | 6 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,911.27 (+3.2%) | 6.0 | 4.7% | 7h | 7.3d ago · 49× | 5% ±9 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 12% ±24 | 39% ±55 | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 133 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 14D VAH | 6,866.59–6,891.5 (+2.5%) | 4.7 | 15.5% | 23h | 5.2d ago · 66× | 8% ±12 | 34% ±13 | 40% ±13 | 27% ±12 | 53 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±12 | 19% ±29 | 55% ±56 | 6.2d | 0.56% | 0.20% | 128 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,822.09 (+1.9%) | 3.5 | 8.1% | 12h | 5.1d ago · 71× | 14% ±15 | 23% ±10 | 51% ±12 | 26% ±10 | 67 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±14 | 28% ±33 | 65% ±54 | 5.9d | 0.40% | 0.16% | 129 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,821.91–6,893.4 (+1.9%) | 3.5 | 8.1% | 12h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 37% ±32 | 28% ±13 | 28% ±13 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 5% ±6 | 37% ±32 | 56% ±56 | 84% | 2.8d | 0.56% | 0.42% | 56 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC · 30D VAL | 6,758.21–6,768.29 (+0.9%) | 1.7 | 4.8% | 8h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 47% ±25 | 28% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 32% ±12 | 57 | 22% ±8 | 47% ±25 | 68% ±41 | 91% ±40 | 1.7d | 0.55% | 0.40% | 91 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,723.84 (+0.4%) | 0.8 | 2.3% | 3h | 6.2d ago · 49× | 74% ±27 | 24% ±15 | 33% ±17 | 42% ±18 | 30 | 46% ±13 | 74% ±27 | 87% ±38 | 98% | 6h | 0.44% | 0.50% | 61 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,696.43 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.