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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-13 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 6,914.84–6,925.57 (+3.2%) | 6.2 | 3.2% | 4h | 21.5d ago · 30× | building | 25% ±21 | 5% ±10 | 70% ±22 | 17 | building | building | building | building | — | 0.32% | 0.65% | 7 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,911.27 (+3.2%) | 6.1 | 4.6% | 6h | 7.6d ago · 49× | 5% ±9 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 2% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 11% ±23 | 38% ±55 | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 131 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 14D VAH | 6,866.59–6,890.41 (+2.5%) | 4.8 | 15.0% | 22h | 5.6d ago · 66× | 8% ±12 | 34% ±13 | 40% ±13 | 27% ±12 | 53 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±12 | 19% ±29 | 55% ±56 | 6.2d | 0.56% | 0.20% | 128 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,821.91–6,907.69 (+1.8%) | 3.5 | 7.8% | 12h | 5.6d ago · 65× | 37% ±32 | 28% ±13 | 28% ±13 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 5% ±6 | 36% ±30 | 56% ±56 | 84% | 2.8d | 0.56% | 0.42% | 57 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC · 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 6,752.63–6,780.28 (+0.8%) | 1.5 | 3.7% | 6h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 39% ±20 | 26% ±11 | 44% ±12 | 30% ±11 | 67 | 16% ±6 | 38% ±20 | 58% ±37 | 84% ±42 | 2.6d | 0.49% | 0.31% | 130 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,699.02 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,684.12 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 2.8% | 3h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 79% ±18 | 22% ±11 | 43% ±13 | 35% ±12 | 57 | 55% ±9 | 79% ±18 | 86% ±27 | 93% ±29 | 2h | 0.67% | 0.45% | 115 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,699.02 | 6,760.42 | 6,666.81 | stop | -1.00% |