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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-13 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,912.53 (+3.9%) | 7.9 | 3.3% | 5h | 7.4d ago · 49× | 1% ±6 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 3% ±16 | 38% ±67 | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 86 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 6,912.53–6,936.13 (+3.9%) | 7.9 | 3.3% | 5h | 21.2d ago · 30× | building | 25% ±21 | 5% ±10 | 70% ±22 | 17 | building | building | building | building | — | 0.32% | 0.65% | 6 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 6,875.84–6,890.41 (+3.3%) | 6.8 | 14.7% | 21h | 5.4d ago · 66× | 5% ±11 | 34% ±13 | 40% ±13 | 27% ±12 | 53 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±11 | 12% ±29 | 47% ±69 | 5.9d | 0.56% | 0.20% | 87 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,821.49–6,905.78 (+2.5%) | 5.1 | 7.3% | 11h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 35% ±47 | 28% ±13 | 28% ±13 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 4% ±8 | 33% ±46 | 57% | 91% | 1.9d | 0.56% | 0.42% | 23 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 6,770.91–6,784.46 (+1.8%) | 3.6 | 4.9% | 8h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 14% ±15 | 23% ±10 | 47% ±12 | 30% ±11 | 67 | 4% ±3 | 14% ±14 | 30% ±34 | 66% ±54 | 5.3d | 0.43% | 0.25% | 132 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,742.03 (+1.3%) | 2.7 | 2.4% | 3h | 6.4d ago · 44× | 49% ±40 | 26% ±16 | 44% ±17 | 29% ±16 | 31 | 22% ±13 | 47% ±37 | 81% ±55 | 98% | 1.1d | 0.62% | 0.42% | 39 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 7D POC | 6,679.94–6,693.53 (+0.4%) | 0.8 | 2.3% | 3h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 62% ±22 | 28% ±12 | 38% ±13 | 34% ±12 | 57 | 39% ±9 | 62% ±22 | 78% ±33 | 92% ±30 | 21h | 0.49% | 0.39% | 113 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,653.68 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.