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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-16 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,913.08 (+3.0%) | 6.1 | 3.5% | 4h | 7.4d ago · 49× | 5% ±9 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 11% ±23 | 37% ±55 | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 134 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 6,913.08–6,939.37 (+3.0%) | 6.1 | 3.5% | 4h | 21.2d ago · 30× | building | 25% ±21 | 5% ±10 | 70% ±22 | 17 | building | building | building | building | — | 0.32% | 0.65% | 9 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 6,874.69–6,889.93 (+2.4%) | 4.9 | 13.7% | 18h | 5.4d ago · 66× | 8% ±11 | 34% ±13 | 40% ±13 | 27% ±12 | 53 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 18% ±28 | 53% ±56 | 6.5d | 0.56% | 0.20% | 134 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,824.36–6,906.51 (+1.7%) | 3.4 | 7.6% | 10h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 33% ±29 | 28% ±13 | 28% ±13 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 5% ±5 | 33% ±29 | 54% ±56 | 82% | 2.9d | 0.56% | 0.42% | 61 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 6,765.21–6,769.89 (+0.8%) | 1.6 | 5.7% | 8h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 36% ±20 | 23% ±10 | 47% ±12 | 30% ±11 | 67 | 15% ±6 | 36% ±20 | 55% ±34 | 79% ±46 | 2.6d | 0.43% | 0.25% | 137 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,723.67 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.7% | 3h | 6.4d ago · 44× | 85% ±23 | 26% ±16 | 44% ±17 | 29% ±16 | 31 | 64% ±13 | 85% ±23 | 93% ±29 | 98% | 2h | 0.62% | 0.42% | 53 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,713.14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 6,695.8 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 4.5% | 5h | 7.4d ago · 75× | 69% ±21 | 27% ±11 | 38% ±13 | 35% ±12 | 57 | 50% ±9 | 69% ±21 | 86% ±28 | 93% ±29 | 4h | 0.46% | 0.25% | 109 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,623.92 (-1.3%) | 2.7 | 0.6% | 35m | 7.1d ago · 67× | 28% ±18 | 21% ±10 | 42% ±13 | 37% ±12 | 59 | 10% ±5 | 28% ±18 | 45% ±35 | 71% ±51 | 3.3d | 0.57% | 0.46% | 141 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,713.14 | 6,695.8 | 6,597.65 | target | +0.33% |