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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-16 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 6,913.08–6,939.37 (+3.2%) | 6.5 | 3.3% | 4h | 21.1d ago · 30× | building | 25% ±21 | 5% ±10 | 70% ±22 | 17 | building | building | building | building | — | 0.32% | 0.65% | 9 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,901.01–6,913.08 (+3.0%) | 6.1 | 8.1% | 11h | 5.3d ago · 66× | 5% ±9 | 31% ±12 | 47% ±13 | 22% ±11 | 53 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 14% ±26 | 42% ±56 | > 7d | 0.58% | 0.18% | 122 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,874.69–6,875.29 (+2.6%) | 5.3 | 13.3% | 18h | 5.3d ago · 51× | 7% ±13 | 32% ±14 | 37% ±15 | 31% ±14 | 42 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±13 | 14% ±30 | 53% ±69 | 5.9d | 0.50% | 0.23% | 87 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,824.36–6,906.51 (+1.8%) | 3.8 | 7.4% | 10h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 32% ±32 | 28% ±13 | 28% ±13 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 4% ±5 | 32% ±32 | 54% ±56 | 85% | 2.9d | 0.56% | 0.42% | 49 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 6,758.64–6,769.89 (+0.8%) | 1.7 | 5.0% | 7h | 5.1d ago · 71× | 33% ±20 | 23% ±10 | 47% ±12 | 30% ±11 | 67 | 11% ±5 | 33% ±20 | 49% ±37 | 79% ±46 | 3.6d | 0.43% | 0.25% | 131 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,715.36 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 3.6% | 5h | 6.3d ago · 44× | 84% ±24 | 26% ±16 | 44% ±17 | 29% ±16 | 31 | 63% ±13 | 84% ±24 | 93% ±29 | 98% | 2h | 0.62% | 0.42% | 55 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,701.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 6,693.59 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 5.5% | 7h | 7.3d ago · 75× | 76% ±22 | 27% ±11 | 38% ±13 | 35% ±12 | 57 | 55% ±10 | 76% ±21 | 89% ±27 | 95% ±31 | 2h | 0.46% | 0.25% | 93 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,623.92 (-1.2%) | 2.4 | 0.6% | 34m | 7.1d ago · 67× | 30% ±20 | 21% ±10 | 42% ±13 | 37% ±12 | 59 | 12% ±6 | 30% ±20 | 48% ±37 | 73% ±50 | 3.1d | 0.57% | 0.46% | 127 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,701.7 | 6,769.89 | 6,623.92 | expired | +0.34% |