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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-24 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,909.4 (+5.5%) | 9.1 | 2.4% | 3h | 7.3d ago · 49× | 1% ±7 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 4% ±19 | 33% ±65 | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 74 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 6,909.4–6,933.35 (+5.5%) | 9.1 | 2.4% | 3h | 21.1d ago · 30× | 8% ±38 | 25% ±21 | 5% ±10 | 70% ±22 | 17 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | 0.32% | 0.65% | 11 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,883.06 (+5.1%) | 8.4 | 10.3% | 15h | 5.3d ago · 46× | 5% ±16 | 29% ±14 | 38% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 39 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±15 | 4% ±29 | 23% | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.29% | 43 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,741.04–6,744.04 (+2.9%) | 4.8 | 3.7% | 5h | 5.1d ago · 71× | 7% ±10 | 29% ±11 | 48% ±12 | 23% ±10 | 67 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±10 | 19% ±26 | 54% ±49 | 6.8d | 0.51% | 0.16% | 160 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 6,718.34 (+2.6%) | 4.2 | 7.4% | 11h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 17% ±20 | 31% ±12 | 39% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±2 | 17% ±19 | 32% ±41 | 63% ±67 | 5.1d | 0.54% | 0.33% | 83 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D POC | 6,684.28–6,694.6 (+2.0%) | 3.4 | 6.1% | 9h | 5.3d ago · 51× | 16% ±16 | 34% ±14 | 33% ±14 | 33% ±14 | 43 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±16 | 33% ±35 | 68% ±53 | 5.0d | 0.52% | 0.30% | 117 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,684.28–6,727.38 (+2.0%) | 3.4 | 6.1% | 9h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 30% ±27 | 29% ±13 | 27% ±13 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 4% ±5 | 30% ±27 | 49% ±49 | 73% ±61 | 3.0d | 0.59% | 0.41% | 68 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,566.41–6,576.32 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 1.8% | 3h | 6.2d ago · 49× | 79% ±25 | 28% ±15 | 38% ±17 | 34% ±16 | 33 | 55% ±12 | 79% ±25 | 90% ±33 | 98% | 4h | 0.55% | 0.41% | 62 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,551.24 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 6,551.24 | 6,383.52 | 6,718.34 | expired | -0.85% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 6,551.24 | 6,376.61 | 6,694.6 | expired | -0.85% |