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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-24 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,909.4 (+5.3%) | 9.0 | 2.3% | 3h | 7.3d ago · 49× | 1% ±6 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 4% ±19 | 33% ±65 | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 77 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,883.06 (+4.9%) | 8.3 | 10.0% | 15h | 5.3d ago · 46× | 4% ±15 | 29% ±14 | 38% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 39 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±14 | 4% ±23 | 24% | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.29% | 46 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,733.11 (+2.6%) | 4.5 | 4.6% | 7h | 5.3d ago · 66× | 9% ±11 | 36% ±13 | 45% ±13 | 20% ±11 | 53 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±11 | 21% ±27 | 53% ±49 | 6.9d | 0.64% | 0.15% | 168 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 6,684.28–6,727.38 (+1.9%) | 3.2 | 5.9% | 9h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 30% ±27 | 29% ±13 | 27% ±13 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 4% ±5 | 30% ±26 | 49% ±49 | 73% ±62 | 3.0d | 0.59% | 0.41% | 69 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAL · 14D POC | 6,672.38–6,694.17 (+1.7%) | 2.9 | 3.6% | 6h | 5.1d ago · 71× | 18% ±16 | 28% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 67 | 4% ±3 | 17% ±16 | 35% ±33 | 68% ±53 | 5.1d | 0.46% | 0.23% | 140 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 6,617.22–6,622.01 (+0.9%) | 1.5 | 2.0% | 2h | 21.1d ago · 30× | 60% ±39 | 25% ±21 | 5% ±10 | 70% ±22 | 17 | 22% ±14 | 61% ±39 | 81% ±55 | 92% | 22h | 0.32% | 0.65% | 34 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 6,569.94–6,580.7 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.9% | 5h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 76% ±19 | 30% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 58 | 58% ±9 | 76% ±19 | 86% ±28 | 93% ±29 | 2h | 0.57% | 0.36% | 113 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,559.64 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,538.08 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 0.9% | 2h | 7.1d ago · 67× | 79% ±18 | 20% ±10 | 42% ±12 | 38% ±12 | 61 | 56% ±9 | 79% ±18 | 85% ±26 | 93% ±29 | 2h | 0.57% | 0.51% | 122 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 6,559.64 | 6,538.08 | 6,672.38 | expired | -0.71% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 6,559.64 | 6,396.47 | 6,694.17 | expired | -0.71% |