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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-25 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,909.4 (+4.6%) | 7.5 | 2.3% | 3h | 7.4d ago · 49× | 1% ±4 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 4% ±15 | 35% ±54 | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 107 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 6,883.06 (+4.2%) | 6.9 | 9.9% | 15h | 5.4d ago · 46× | 5% ±13 | 29% ±14 | 38% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 39 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±13 | 5% ±24 | 30% | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.29% | 62 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,732.61 (+1.9%) | 3.1 | 4.7% | 7h | 5.4d ago · 66× | 16% ±14 | 36% ±13 | 45% ±13 | 20% ±11 | 53 | 4% ±3 | 16% ±13 | 33% ±31 | 64% ±47 | 4.9d | 0.64% | 0.15% | 170 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 6,695.36 (+1.3%) | 2.2 | 7.5% | 11h | 5.4d ago · 51× | 23% ±19 | 37% ±14 | 35% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 43 | 6% ±5 | 23% ±19 | 41% ±39 | 78% ±47 | 3.9d | 0.50% | 0.17% | 106 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,684.28–6,727.38 (+1.2%) | 1.9 | 5.9% | 9h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 44% ±25 | 29% ±13 | 27% ±13 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 16% ±8 | 44% ±25 | 61% ±43 | 80% ±56 | 2.0d | 0.59% | 0.41% | 91 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,669.91 (+1.0%) | 1.6 | 3.1% | 5h | 6.4d ago · 32× | 44% ±40 | 29% ±21 | 29% ±21 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 18% ±12 | 44% ±40 | 57% ±69 | 76% | 2.8d | 0.56% | 0.59% | 37 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,637.45 (+0.5%) | 0.8 | 3.8% | 5h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 68% ±17 | 23% ±10 | 51% ±12 | 26% ±10 | 67 | 47% ±7 | 68% ±17 | 81% ±24 | 88% ±32 | 18h | 0.40% | 0.16% | 175 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 6,612.43–6,622.01 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.7% | 3h | 21.2d ago · 30× | 79% ±36 | 29% ±21 | 5% ±10 | 67% ±22 | 18 | 48% ±19 | 79% ±36 | 93% ±35 | 97% | 6h | 0.34% | 0.64% | 27 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,606.87 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 6,577.16–6,582.45 (-0.4%) | 0.6 | 5.2% | 9h | 7.2d ago · 75× | 63% ±21 | 27% ±11 | 36% ±12 | 37% ±12 | 59 | 43% ±9 | 63% ±21 | 77% ±31 | 89% ±35 | 20h | 0.55% | 0.33% | 123 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,544.7 (-0.9%) | 1.6 | 1.9% | 4h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 56% ±22 | 20% ±10 | 42% ±12 | 38% ±12 | 61 | 30% ±8 | 55% ±22 | 67% ±38 | 86% ±39 | 1.0d | 0.57% | 0.51% | 116 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,606.87 | 6,637.45 | 6,544.7 | stop | -0.68% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,606.87 | 6,695.36 | 6,549.17 | stop | -0.68% |