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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-04-24 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,127.01–7,147.78 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 6.6% | 11h | 5.2d ago · 78× | 70% ±16 | 30% ±11 | 42% ±11 | 28% ±10 | 72 | 50% ±7 | 70% ±16 | 82% ±24 | 90% ±30 | 9h | 0.53% | 0.23% | 183 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,121.08 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 7,099.19 (-0.3%) | 0.8 | 5.1% | 7h | 7.1d ago · 67× | 78% ±17 | 22% ±10 | 40% ±12 | 37% ±12 | 64 | 52% ±8 | 78% ±17 | 85% ±25 | 94% ±27 | 3h | 0.58% | 0.49% | 145 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,014.84–7,039.77 (-1.1%) | 3.0 | 2.4% | 3h | 5.3d ago · 62× | 24% ±23 | 25% ±11 | 24% ±11 | 51% ±13 | 56 | 8% ±6 | 24% ±22 | 42% ±43 | 63% ±67 | 5.9d | 0.47% | 0.49% | 82 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,986.79 (-1.9%) | 5.0 | 1.2% | 2h | 7.1d ago · 58× | 16% ±15 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 1% ±2 | 16% ±15 | 43% ±37 | 53% ±57 | 5.0d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 134 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 6,865.28–6,931.75 (-2.7%) | 7.0 | 0.4% | 47m | 1.3d ago · 55× | 19% ±22 | 33% ±14 | 25% ±13 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 5% ±5 | 19% ±22 | 40% ±48 | 53% ±69 | 5.9d | 0.58% | 0.38% | 72 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,582.79 (-7.6%) | 20 | 5.5% | 7h | 6.4d ago · 41× | 5% ±10 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 15% ±29 | 18% ±54 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 103 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 7,121.08 | 7,128.04 | 7,091.72 | target | +0.61% |