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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-04-24 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,164.45 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 0.5% | 41m | 5.2d ago · 66× | 78% ±18 | 31% ±12 | 45% ±13 | 24% ±11 | 56 | 57% ±9 | 79% ±18 | 87% ±25 | 91% ±32 | 2h | 0.56% | 0.19% | 123 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,153.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,079.7–7,147.5 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 1.7% | 2h | 5.2d ago · 62× | 79% ±19 | 25% ±11 | 24% ±11 | 51% ±13 | 56 | 57% ±10 | 79% ±19 | 91% ±23 | 93% ±35 | 1h | 0.47% | 0.49% | 101 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,145.59 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.0% | 2h | 5.2d ago · 52× | 71% ±27 | 18% ±12 | 45% ±15 | 36% ±15 | 41 | 54% ±12 | 71% ±27 | 88% ±32 | 93% ±36 | 2h | 0.42% | 0.26% | 66 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 7,126.31–7,128.88 (-0.3%) | 0.9 | 6.9% | 11h | 5.1d ago · 75× | 66% ±19 | 23% ±10 | 38% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 65 | 48% ±8 | 66% ±19 | 84% ±25 | 89% ±35 | 13h | 0.50% | 0.38% | 144 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,096.07 (-0.8%) | 2.1 | 4.6% | 6h | 7.0d ago · 67× | 38% ±21 | 22% ±10 | 40% ±12 | 37% ±12 | 64 | 16% ±7 | 39% ±21 | 54% ±37 | 76% ±48 | 2.8d | 0.58% | 0.49% | 122 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,003.45 (-2.1%) | 5.4 | 1.4% | 2h | 7.0d ago · 58× | 14% ±14 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 1% ±2 | 14% ±14 | 39% ±36 | 50% ±57 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 132 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 6,867.81–6,935.61 (-3.1%) | 7.9 | 0.6% | 53m | 1.2d ago · 55× | 17% ±22 | 33% ±14 | 25% ±13 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 7% ±6 | 16% ±22 | 38% ±48 | 51% ±69 | 7.0d | 0.58% | 0.38% | 66 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,579.65 (-8.0%) | 21 | 4.7% | 7h | 6.3d ago · 41× | 4% ±10 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 2% ±3 | 4% ±10 | 16% ±32 | 19% ±54 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 96 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 7,153.88 | 7,128.88 | 7,193.43 | expired | -0.15% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 7,153.88 | 7,126.31 | 7,269.71 | expired | -0.15% |