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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-04-30 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,181.39 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 0.6% | 33m | 7.3d ago · 49× | 91% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 48% ±14 | 26% ±13 | 47 | 68% ±10 | 91% ±15 | 95% ±21 | 95% ±30 | 1h | 0.47% | 0.22% | 80 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,181.37 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 7,180.04 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.1% | 1h | 5.2d ago · 52× | 81% ±24 | 17% ±11 | 46% ±15 | 37% ±14 | 43 | 60% ±12 | 81% ±24 | 92% ±31 | 95% | 1h | 0.41% | 0.26% | 61 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 7,161.84 (-0.3%) | 1.1 | 4.0% | 6h | 7.2d ago · 75× | 58% ±21 | 26% ±10 | 39% ±12 | 36% ±11 | 67 | 38% ±8 | 58% ±20 | 81% ±27 | 91% ±33 | 22h | 0.46% | 0.28% | 135 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,152.03 (-0.4%) | 1.6 | 2.1% | 3h | 13.3d ago · 40× | 58% ±37 | 13% ±13 | 47% ±19 | 40% ±18 | 27 | 33% ±14 | 58% ±37 | 71% ±63 | 78% | 1.0d | 0.38% | 0.17% | 43 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 7,126.11–7,128.41 (-0.7%) | 2.9 | 8.5% | 12h | 5.1d ago · 67× | 23% ±15 | 23% ±10 | 39% ±12 | 38% ±12 | 65 | 8% ±4 | 23% ±15 | 47% ±31 | 67% ±46 | 3.5d | 0.55% | 0.42% | 175 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,083.51 (-1.4%) | 5.3 | 1.4% | 2h | 7.0d ago · 58× | 13% ±14 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 1% ±2 | 13% ±13 | 38% ±34 | 49% ±57 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 141 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,025.97–7,033.04 (-2.1%) | 8.0 | 1.8% | 3h | 5.2d ago · 62× | 10% ±22 | 25% ±11 | 25% ±11 | 50% ±13 | 57 | 5% ±6 | 9% ±22 | 22% ±57 | 39% | > 7d | 0.46% | 0.49% | 41 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,891.75–6,934.13 (-3.4%) | 13 | 0.4% | 38m | 1.2d ago · 55× | 13% ±29 | 33% ±14 | 25% ±13 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 12% ±11 | 12% ±29 | 26% ±61 | 34% | > 7d | 0.58% | 0.38% | 31 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,814.04 (-5.1%) | 20 | 3.2% | 5h | 6.3d ago · 41× | 4% ±10 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 3% ±3 | 4% ±9 | 14% ±28 | 17% ±43 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 112 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 7,181.37 | 7,235.31 | 7,161.84 | target | +1.00% |