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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-05-01 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,265.93 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 7,224.67 (-0.6%) | 2.0 | 0.3% | 3m | 14.2d ago · 30× | 27% ±43 | 12% ±13 | 50% ±20 | 38% ±20 | 23 | 23% ±17 | 27% ±43 | 38% | 58% | 5.0d | 0.37% | 0.33% | 24 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,081.1–7,184.79 (-1.1%) | 3.9 | 0.4% | 28m | 5.3d ago · 62× | 18% ±21 | 25% ±11 | 25% ±11 | 50% ±13 | 57 | 9% ±6 | 17% ±21 | 32% ±46 | 52% ±69 | 7.0d | 0.46% | 0.49% | 78 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,180.31 (-1.2%) | 4.1 | 1.5% | 2h | 5.3d ago · 52× | 28% ±36 | 17% ±11 | 46% ±15 | 37% ±14 | 43 | 21% ±13 | 28% ±36 | 38% ±67 | 46% | > 7d | 0.41% | 0.26% | 37 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 7,155.02–7,161.37 (-1.4%) | 5.0 | 4.4% | 7h | 7.3d ago · 75× | 15% ±21 | 22% ±10 | 41% ±12 | 37% ±12 | 67 | 8% ±6 | 15% ±21 | 32% ±46 | 48% ±69 | 7.0d | 0.44% | 0.25% | 68 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL · 30D POC | 7,124.97–7,129.03 (-1.9%) | 6.5 | 9.4% | 14h | 5.1d ago · 67× | 11% ±13 | 23% ±10 | 39% ±12 | 38% ±12 | 65 | 4% ±3 | 11% ±13 | 29% ±32 | 50% ±57 | 6.9d | 0.55% | 0.42% | 140 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,082.71 (-2.5%) | 8.7 | 1.5% | 2h | 7.1d ago · 58× | 11% ±14 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 5% ±4 | 11% ±14 | 29% ±36 | 39% ±55 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 115 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 6,897.66–6,921.58 (-4.7%) | 16 | <0.1% | 21m | 1.2d ago · 55× | 15% ±35 | 33% ±14 | 25% ±13 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 14% ±13 | 14% ±34 | 26% | 37% | > 7d | 0.58% | 0.38% | 26 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,817.9 (-6.2%) | 21 | 4.2% | 6h | 6.3d ago · 41× | 4% ±9 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 2% ±3 | 4% ±9 | 15% ±29 | 18% ±53 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 101 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 7,265.93 | 7,672.7 | 7,124.97 | expired | -0.50% |