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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-05-12 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 7,428.97 (+0.8%) | 2.9 | 0.8% | 1h | 5.1d ago · 71× | 20% ±16 | 24% ±10 | 48% ±11 | 28% ±10 | 76 | 5% ±3 | 20% ±16 | 36% ±33 | 66% ±47 | 5.8d | 0.43% | 0.17% | 149 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 7,397.22 (+0.4%) | 1.3 | 3.3% | 5h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 53% ±21 | 32% ±11 | 38% ±12 | 30% ±11 | 66 | 36% ±8 | 53% ±21 | 70% ±34 | 87% ±37 | 22h | 0.54% | 0.33% | 126 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,390.63–7,409.8 (+0.3%) | 1.0 | 2.9% | 5h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 64% ±19 | 30% ±13 | 30% ±13 | 41% ±13 | 51 | 45% ±8 | 64% ±19 | 76% ±29 | 88% ±37 | 18h | 0.55% | 0.42% | 146 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,369.33 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,333.13–7,345.91 (-0.3%) | 1.1 | 2.0% | 2h | 5.3d ago · 62× | 67% ±19 | 26% ±11 | 25% ±11 | 49% ±13 | 58 | 43% ±8 | 68% ±19 | 81% ±27 | 86% ±40 | 18h | 0.47% | 0.49% | 143 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,345.48 (-0.3%) | 1.1 | 2.1% | 2h | 13.3d ago · 40× | 64% ±31 | 13% ±13 | 47% ±19 | 40% ±18 | 27 | 42% ±14 | 64% ±31 | 79% ±46 | 83% | 22h | 0.38% | 0.17% | 51 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,334.63 (-0.5%) | 1.7 | 3.0% | 4h | 7.1d ago · 67× | 51% ±21 | 24% ±10 | 40% ±12 | 37% ±12 | 65 | 28% ±8 | 51% ±21 | 64% ±36 | 81% ±44 | 1.0d | 0.59% | 0.51% | 125 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,275.62–7,320.35 (-0.7%) | 2.3 | 0.4% | 45m | 1.2d ago · 55× | 29% ±23 | 35% ±14 | 24% ±12 | 41% ±14 | 46 | 18% ±8 | 29% ±23 | 55% ±44 | 76% ±59 | 2.8d | 0.59% | 0.37% | 91 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,275.62 (-1.3%) | 4.5 | 0.4% | 25m | 14.2d ago · 30× | 13% ±23 | 11% ±12 | 50% ±20 | 39% ±19 | 25 | 8% ±8 | 12% ±23 | 23% ±48 | 55% | 6.1d | 0.37% | 0.33% | 46 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,125.47–7,135.15 (-3.2%) | 11 | 6.8% | 10h | 5.1d ago · 63× | 11% ±17 | 23% ±12 | 39% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 7% ±6 | 11% ±17 | 24% ±42 | 39% ±68 | > 7d | 0.53% | 0.35% | 80 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,107.86 (-3.5%) | 13 | 3.9% | 7h | 7.1d ago · 58× | 8% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 5% ±4 | 7% ±12 | 23% ±34 | 33% ±53 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 105 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,988.09 (-5.2%) | 18 | 1.0% | 2h | 6.3d ago · 41× | 4% ±8 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 3% ±3 | 4% ±8 | 12% ±22 | 16% ±41 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 144 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 7,369.33 | 7,334.63 | 7,428.97 | expired | -0.48% |