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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-05-12 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 7,401.21 (+0.5%) | 1.6 | 2.8% | 4h | 5.1d ago · 71× | 38% ±18 | 24% ±10 | 48% ±11 | 28% ±10 | 76 | 17% ±6 | 38% ±18 | 57% ±32 | 75% ±42 | 2.8d | 0.43% | 0.17% | 165 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,390.63–7,403.41 (+0.4%) | 1.2 | 3.1% | 5h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 59% ±21 | 30% ±13 | 30% ±13 | 41% ±13 | 51 | 38% ±8 | 59% ±21 | 72% ±33 | 85% ±40 | 22h | 0.55% | 0.42% | 133 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,364.11 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,333.13–7,352.3 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 2.3% | 3h | 5.2d ago · 62× | 74% ±19 | 26% ±11 | 24% ±11 | 50% ±13 | 59 | 54% ±9 | 75% ±19 | 87% ±25 | 90% ±34 | 3h | 0.46% | 0.49% | 125 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 7,341.35–7,351.9 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 2.3% | 3h | 7.2d ago · 75× | 66% ±19 | 23% ±10 | 40% ±12 | 37% ±11 | 68 | 48% ±8 | 66% ±19 | 84% ±26 | 91% ±28 | 14h | 0.45% | 0.24% | 151 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,321.39 (-0.6%) | 1.9 | 0.6% | 1h | 7.0d ago · 67× | 43% ±22 | 24% ±10 | 40% ±12 | 37% ±12 | 65 | 20% ±7 | 43% ±22 | 56% ±37 | 76% ±49 | 2.2d | 0.59% | 0.51% | 121 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,275.62–7,320.35 (-0.6%) | 1.9 | 0.5% | 50m | 1.2d ago · 55× | 38% ±25 | 35% ±14 | 24% ±12 | 41% ±14 | 46 | 23% ±9 | 38% ±25 | 60% ±43 | 84% ±51 | 2.0d | 0.59% | 0.37% | 91 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,275.62 (-1.2%) | 3.9 | 0.5% | 30m | 14.2d ago · 30× | 12% ±23 | 11% ±12 | 50% ±20 | 39% ±19 | 25 | 8% ±8 | 12% ±22 | 26% ±50 | 56% | 6.0d | 0.37% | 0.33% | 49 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 7,253.97 (-1.5%) | 4.9 | 3.8% | 5h | 5.2d ago · 63× | 10% ±16 | 19% ±11 | 43% ±14 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 4% ±4 | 10% ±16 | 30% ±45 | 54% ±69 | 6.9d | 0.54% | 0.30% | 78 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 7,125.47 (-3.2%) | 11 | 9.8% | 16h | 5.1d ago · 48× | 10% ±16 | 28% ±13 | 34% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 4% ±4 | 10% ±15 | 25% ±38 | 41% ±68 | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.41% | 87 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,107.86 (-3.5%) | 11 | 4.2% | 7h | 7.0d ago · 58× | 7% ±11 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 4% ±4 | 7% ±11 | 22% ±33 | 32% ±53 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 115 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,962.54 (-5.5%) | 18 | 1.9% | 3h | 6.3d ago · 41× | 5% ±8 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±8 | 12% ±23 | 16% ±36 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 148 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 7,364.11 | 7,398.46 | 7,253.97 | target | +1.14% |