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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-05-14 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.20) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,481 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 7,461.62 (-0.3%) | 0.9 | 0.4% | 47m | 13.2d ago · 40× | 69% ±29 | 16% ±14 | 45% ±18 | 39% ±18 | 28 | 52% ±13 | 68% ±29 | 83% ±42 | 87% | 3h | 0.38% | 0.15% | 58 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,426.86 (-0.7%) | 2.5 | 1.6% | 2h | 5.2d ago · 52× | 25% ±28 | 22% ±12 | 43% ±14 | 35% ±14 | 46 | 14% ±9 | 25% ±28 | 51% ±57 | 65% | 3.0d | 0.42% | 0.25% | 55 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,386.21–7,408.44 (-1.0%) | 3.4 | 2.7% | 4h | 5.2d ago · 62× | 21% ±20 | 27% ±11 | 24% ±11 | 49% ±13 | 60 | 8% ±6 | 21% ±20 | 34% ±41 | 54% ±69 | 6.8d | 0.47% | 0.49% | 94 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 7,396.49–7,397.98 (-1.1%) | 3.9 | 4.2% | 6h | 5.2d ago · 75× | 16% ±19 | 23% ±10 | 40% ±12 | 37% ±11 | 69 | 4% ±4 | 16% ±19 | 40% ±43 | 61% ±68 | 5.4d | 0.50% | 0.29% | 90 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,344.35 (-1.8%) | 6.3 | 3.1% | 4h | 7.0d ago · 67× | 8% ±10 | 25% ±10 | 39% ±12 | 36% ±12 | 66 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±10 | 28% ±29 | 47% ±49 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.49% | 163 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,275.04–7,319.51 (-2.2%) | 7.5 | 0.4% | 39m | 14.1d ago · 54× | 16% ±20 | 35% ±14 | 24% ±12 | 41% ±14 | 46 | 6% ±5 | 16% ±20 | 34% ±46 | 46% ±69 | > 7d | 0.59% | 0.37% | 79 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,275.04 (-2.8%) | 9.6 | 0.6% | 36m | 14.1d ago · 30× | 7% ±19 | 11% ±12 | 50% ±20 | 39% ±19 | 25 | 5% ±6 | 7% ±19 | 17% ±52 | 20% | > 7d | 0.37% | 0.33% | 41 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,253.92 (-3.0%) | 11 | 3.6% | 5h | 7.0d ago · 58× | 7% ±11 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 4% ±3 | 6% ±10 | 20% ±30 | 30% ±52 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 123 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 7,127.75 (-4.7%) | 16 | 8.8% | 14h | 5.0d ago · 48× | 8% ±17 | 28% ±13 | 34% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 5% ±5 | 8% ±17 | 24% ±49 | 31% | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.41% | 62 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,947.11 (-7.1%) | 25 | 1.0% | 1h | 6.2d ago · 41× | 3% ±9 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 12% ±29 | 12% ±46 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 89 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 7,481 | 7,688.7 | 7,396.49 | expired | -0.68% |