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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-05-14 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,490.56 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 7,462.24 (-0.4%) | 1.3 | 0.4% | 40m | 13.3d ago · 40× | 59% ±32 | 16% ±14 | 45% ±18 | 39% ±18 | 28 | 36% ±13 | 59% ±32 | 75% ±49 | 79% | 23h | 0.38% | 0.15% | 53 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,428.98 (-0.8%) | 2.8 | 1.1% | 2h | 5.3d ago · 52× | 22% ±27 | 22% ±12 | 43% ±14 | 35% ±14 | 46 | 15% ±10 | 22% ±27 | 42% ±56 | 59% | 4.1d | 0.42% | 0.25% | 53 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,385.72–7,408.57 (-1.1%) | 3.8 | 2.8% | 4h | 5.3d ago · 62× | 16% ±19 | 27% ±11 | 24% ±11 | 49% ±13 | 60 | 9% ±6 | 16% ±19 | 30% ±40 | 50% ±69 | > 7d | 0.47% | 0.49% | 90 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,392.74–7,398.79 (-1.2%) | 4.2 | 4.1% | 6h | 5.3d ago · 75× | 15% ±19 | 23% ±10 | 40% ±12 | 37% ±11 | 69 | 5% ±5 | 15% ±19 | 33% ±41 | 54% ±69 | 6.5d | 0.50% | 0.29% | 86 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 7,328.59–7,334.96 (-2.1%) | 7.1 | 3.2% | 4h | 7.1d ago · 67× | 6% ±10 | 21% ±10 | 42% ±12 | 37% ±12 | 66 | 3% ±3 | 6% ±10 | 22% ±29 | 38% ±55 | > 7d | 0.56% | 0.45% | 143 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,277.17–7,317.16 (-2.3%) | 7.9 | 0.1% | 23m | 1.2d ago · 55× | 14% ±19 | 35% ±14 | 24% ±12 | 41% ±14 | 46 | 6% ±5 | 14% ±19 | 32% ±46 | 42% ±69 | > 7d | 0.59% | 0.37% | 79 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,253.01 (-3.2%) | 11 | 3.6% | 5h | 7.1d ago · 58× | 7% ±11 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 4% ±4 | 7% ±11 | 21% ±30 | 32% ±53 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 120 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 7,125.77 (-4.9%) | 17 | 9.0% | 15h | 5.1d ago · 48× | 8% ±17 | 28% ±13 | 34% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 5% ±5 | 8% ±16 | 24% ±42 | 31% ±64 | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.41% | 63 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,945.81 (-7.3%) | 25 | 0.3% | 28m | 6.3d ago · 41× | 3% ±9 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 11% ±28 | 11% ±44 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 91 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.