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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-05-18 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 7,461.76–7,462.24 (+0.6%) | 1.9 | 0.6% | 1h | 5.1d ago · 71× | 32% ±18 | 29% ±10 | 45% ±11 | 26% ±10 | 79 | 11% ±5 | 32% ±18 | 48% ±33 | 74% ±43 | 3.4d | 0.52% | 0.17% | 155 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,460.65–7,488.89 (+0.6%) | 1.9 | 0.9% | 1h | 21.1d ago · 30× | 45% ±37 | 27% ±18 | 4% ±8 | 69% ±19 | 23 | 21% ±13 | 45% ±37 | 64% ±66 | 83% | 1.2d | 0.32% | 0.65% | 40 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 7,423.37 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 4.3% | 6h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 73% ±20 | 31% ±11 | 37% ±12 | 31% ±11 | 67 | 56% ±9 | 73% ±20 | 84% ±30 | 92% ±30 | 2h | 0.52% | 0.33% | 115 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,413.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,390.07–7,408.89 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.3% | 5h | 5.2d ago · 62× | 78% ±19 | 28% ±11 | 23% ±11 | 48% ±13 | 61 | 59% ±9 | 78% ±19 | 90% ±24 | 92% ±31 | 2h | 0.47% | 0.49% | 109 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 7,398.79 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 5.1% | 7h | 5.2d ago · 63× | 72% ±21 | 20% ±11 | 42% ±13 | 38% ±13 | 52 | 55% ±10 | 72% ±21 | 87% ±27 | 91% ±33 | 2h | 0.55% | 0.29% | 105 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 7,366.54–7,370.68 (-0.6%) | 1.7 | 2.2% | 4h | 7.0d ago · 67× | 45% ±21 | 21% ±10 | 42% ±12 | 37% ±12 | 66 | 25% ±8 | 45% ±21 | 58% ±37 | 74% ±49 | 1.8d | 0.56% | 0.45% | 127 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,272.42–7,324.19 (-1.2%) | 3.6 | 1.5% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 23% ±19 | 35% ±14 | 24% ±12 | 41% ±14 | 46 | 9% ±5 | 23% ±19 | 51% ±40 | 69% ±52 | 3.0d | 0.59% | 0.37% | 109 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,270.16 (-1.9%) | 5.7 | 1.9% | 3h | 7.0d ago · 58× | 12% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±13 | 35% ±33 | 46% ±56 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 146 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 7,128.9 (-3.8%) | 11 | 8.2% | 13h | 5.1d ago · 48× | 10% ±15 | 28% ±13 | 34% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 5% ±5 | 10% ±15 | 24% ±37 | 37% ±67 | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.41% | 91 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,046.55 (-5.0%) | 15 | 0.2% | 9m | 6.3d ago · 41× | 3% ±7 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 2% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 10% ±18 | 13% ±33 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 174 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.