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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-05-18 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 7,460.65–7,488.89 (+0.9%) | 2.5 | 0.9% | 1h | 21.3d ago · 30× | 33% ±38 | 27% ±18 | 4% ±8 | 69% ±19 | 23 | 16% ±12 | 33% ±38 | 50% ±69 | 75% | 3.8d | 0.32% | 0.65% | 35 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 7,451.93–7,459.97 (+0.8%) | 2.2 | 2.9% | 4h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 24% ±16 | 29% ±10 | 45% ±11 | 26% ±10 | 79 | 7% ±4 | 24% ±16 | 42% ±32 | 71% ±44 | 4.4d | 0.52% | 0.17% | 161 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,413.59–7,423.01 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 4.5% | 6h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 69% ±19 | 29% ±12 | 29% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 52 | 50% ±9 | 69% ±19 | 82% ±28 | 90% ±35 | 4h | 0.54% | 0.42% | 132 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,398.14–7,405.51 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 5.8% | 8h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 75% ±18 | 33% ±11 | 36% ±11 | 32% ±11 | 67 | 57% ±9 | 76% ±18 | 86% ±26 | 92% ±30 | 2h | 0.50% | 0.30% | 124 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,392.68 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 7,367.11–7,371.24 (-0.3%) | 0.8 | 2.9% | 5h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 76% ±17 | 21% ±10 | 42% ±12 | 37% ±12 | 66 | 52% ±8 | 76% ±16 | 82% ±25 | 91% ±28 | 14h | 0.56% | 0.45% | 159 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,324.8 (-0.9%) | 2.5 | 1.8% | 2h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 29% ±19 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 8% ±5 | 29% ±19 | 50% ±37 | 66% ±54 | 3.0d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 131 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,272.42–7,324.19 (-0.9%) | 2.6 | 1.6% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 55× | 28% ±22 | 35% ±14 | 24% ±12 | 41% ±14 | 46 | 16% ±7 | 27% ±22 | 54% ±44 | 74% ±61 | 2.8d | 0.59% | 0.37% | 97 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,248.9–7,263.01 (-1.8%) | 4.8 | 4.0% | 5h | 5.4d ago · 62× | 9% ±15 | 28% ±11 | 23% ±11 | 48% ±13 | 61 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±15 | 26% ±43 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | 0.47% | 0.49% | 79 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 7,128.9 (-3.6%) | 9.9 | 8.5% | 14h | 5.2d ago · 48× | 11% ±15 | 28% ±13 | 34% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 4% ±4 | 11% ±15 | 24% ±34 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.41% | 103 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,046.55 (-4.7%) | 13 | 0.2% | 10m | 6.4d ago · 41× | 3% ±6 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 2% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±18 | 13% ±33 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 178 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 7,392.68 | 7,405.51 | 7,350.4 | target | -0.05% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 7,392.68 | 7,397.12 | 7,128.9 | target | -0.05% |