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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-05-19 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 7,517.12 (+1.7%) | 4.0 | 0.4% | 30m | 5.2d ago · 71× | 9% ±11 | 24% ±9 | 48% ±11 | 28% ±10 | 79 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±11 | 23% ±29 | 56% ±49 | 6.8d | 0.47% | 0.16% | 152 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 7,499.69 (+1.5%) | 3.5 | 3.0% | 4h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 22% ±20 | 32% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 68 | 3% ±3 | 22% ±20 | 40% ±39 | 69% ±64 | 4.9d | 0.54% | 0.33% | 102 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 7,460.65–7,488.89 (+1.0%) | 2.3 | 1.1% | 2h | 21.2d ago · 30× | 40% ±36 | 27% ±18 | 4% ±8 | 69% ±19 | 23 | 16% ±11 | 40% ±36 | 57% ±69 | 80% | 2.8d | 0.32% | 0.65% | 41 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,428.16 (+0.5%) | 1.2 | 4.1% | 7h | 5.3d ago · 66× | 50% ±19 | 35% ±12 | 41% ±12 | 24% ±11 | 60 | 28% ±7 | 49% ±19 | 66% ±31 | 82% ±37 | 1.0d | 0.59% | 0.19% | 156 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,413.59–7,423.01 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 5.2% | 7h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 69% ±19 | 29% ±12 | 29% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 52 | 50% ±8 | 68% ±19 | 82% ±28 | 89% ±35 | 4h | 0.54% | 0.42% | 134 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC | 7,392.38–7,392.83 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 7.4% | 11h | 5.4d ago · 51× | 81% ±20 | 31% ±13 | 33% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 50 | 58% ±10 | 81% ±20 | 91% ±25 | 95% ±30 | 2h | 0.46% | 0.38% | 89 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,388.81 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 7,375.95 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 4.1% | 8h | 14.3d ago · 30× | 87% ±27 | 10% ±12 | 52% ±19 | 38% ±19 | 26 | 68% ±15 | 88% ±26 | 88% ±46 | 90% | 1h | 0.40% | 0.39% | 38 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,361.83–7,366.54 (-0.3%) | 0.7 | 4.8% | 8h | 5.3d ago · 62× | 71% ±19 | 28% ±11 | 23% ±10 | 49% ±12 | 62 | 51% ±8 | 71% ±19 | 86% ±24 | 90% ±34 | 3h | 0.47% | 0.49% | 137 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,331.34 (-0.8%) | 1.8 | 4.0% | 5h | 7.1d ago · 58× | 37% ±22 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 17% ±7 | 37% ±22 | 57% ±40 | 80% ±45 | 2.8d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 109 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,272.42–7,324.19 (-0.9%) | 2.0 | 1.8% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 55× | 34% ±24 | 35% ±14 | 24% ±12 | 41% ±14 | 46 | 22% ±9 | 34% ±24 | 58% ±43 | 80% ±56 | 2.1d | 0.59% | 0.37% | 89 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 7,128.9 (-3.5%) | 8.2 | 9.6% | 17h | 5.2d ago · 48× | 10% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 34% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 4% ±4 | 10% ±14 | 27% ±36 | 42% ±56 | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.41% | 107 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,046.55 (-4.6%) | 11 | 0.2% | 13m | 6.4d ago · 41× | 5% ±8 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 3% ±2 | 5% ±8 | 11% ±19 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 175 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 7,388.81 | 7,397.12 | 7,128.9 | target | +0.43% |