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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-05-20 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 7,517.12 (+1.6%) | 3.6 | 0.4% | 31m | 5.2d ago · 71× | 13% ±13 | 24% ±9 | 48% ±11 | 28% ±10 | 79 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±13 | 27% ±31 | 58% ±48 | 6.1d | 0.47% | 0.16% | 150 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 7,499.69 (+1.4%) | 3.1 | 3.0% | 4h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 25% ±21 | 32% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 68 | 4% ±4 | 25% ±21 | 44% ±40 | 71% ±63 | 4.0d | 0.54% | 0.33% | 103 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 7,460.65–7,488.89 (+0.9%) | 1.9 | 1.2% | 2h | 21.2d ago · 30× | 44% ±37 | 27% ±18 | 4% ±8 | 69% ±19 | 23 | 20% ±12 | 44% ±37 | 58% ±68 | 82% | 1.9d | 0.32% | 0.65% | 42 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,428.98 (+0.4%) | 1.0 | 4.0% | 7h | 5.4d ago · 66× | 65% ±17 | 35% ±12 | 41% ±12 | 24% ±11 | 60 | 43% ±7 | 64% ±17 | 77% ±26 | 88% ±32 | 18h | 0.59% | 0.19% | 183 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,396.75 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 7,375.95–7,392.74 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 7.8% | 13h | 5.4d ago · 67× | 81% ±18 | 20% ±10 | 42% ±12 | 38% ±12 | 67 | 63% ±9 | 81% ±18 | 88% ±26 | 92% ±30 | 1h | 0.54% | 0.41% | 116 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,352.42–7,371.24 (-0.3%) | 0.8 | 5.2% | 9h | 5.4d ago · 62× | 71% ±19 | 28% ±11 | 23% ±10 | 49% ±12 | 62 | 50% ±8 | 71% ±18 | 86% ±24 | 90% ±34 | 4h | 0.47% | 0.49% | 141 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,338.88 (-0.8%) | 1.8 | 5.7% | 8h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 40% ±22 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 18% ±7 | 39% ±22 | 59% ±39 | 81% ±45 | 2.2d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 115 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,272.42–7,324.19 (-1.0%) | 2.2 | 1.9% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 55× | 31% ±23 | 35% ±14 | 24% ±12 | 41% ±14 | 46 | 19% ±8 | 30% ±23 | 56% ±44 | 77% ±58 | 2.2d | 0.59% | 0.37% | 94 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 7,128.9 (-3.6%) | 8.1 | 9.7% | 17h | 5.2d ago · 48× | 10% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 34% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 4% ±4 | 10% ±14 | 27% ±36 | 43% ±56 | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.41% | 107 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,046.55 (-4.7%) | 11 | 0.2% | 13m | 6.4d ago · 41× | 5% ±8 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 3% ±2 | 5% ±8 | 11% ±19 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 178 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 7,396.75 | 7,499.69 | 7,363.43 | expired | +0.07% |
| 14d | POC | long | 7,396.75 | 7,428.98 | 7,338.88 | target | +0.07% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 7,396.75 | 7,397.12 | 7,128.9 | target | +0.07% |