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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-05-21 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 7,460.65–7,488.89 (+0.8%) | 1.9 | 1.0% | 2h | 21.1d ago · 30× | 43% ±37 | 27% ±18 | 4% ±8 | 69% ±19 | 23 | 20% ±12 | 42% ±37 | 56% ±69 | 81% | 2.8d | 0.32% | 0.65% | 44 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 7,424.48–7,443.74 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 6.8% | 11h | 5.1d ago · 78× | 57% ±18 | 30% ±10 | 42% ±11 | 28% ±10 | 79 | 36% ±7 | 57% ±18 | 73% ±28 | 84% ±36 | 18h | 0.53% | 0.22% | 171 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,401.76 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D VAH | 7,390.07–7,392.74 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 7.4% | 12h | 5.3d ago · 63× | 81% ±19 | 16% ±10 | 45% ±13 | 38% ±13 | 53 | 62% ±10 | 81% ±19 | 88% ±29 | 91% ±39 | 1h | 0.51% | 0.34% | 97 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,352.42–7,371.24 (-0.4%) | 1.0 | 4.7% | 9h | 5.3d ago · 62× | 69% ±18 | 27% ±11 | 23% ±10 | 50% ±12 | 63 | 46% ±8 | 68% ±18 | 82% ±25 | 88% ±32 | 18h | 0.47% | 0.49% | 154 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,346.71–7,355.69 (-0.6%) | 1.5 | 5.1% | 7h | 7.1d ago · 67× | 46% ±21 | 26% ±10 | 36% ±12 | 38% ±12 | 67 | 25% ±7 | 46% ±21 | 61% ±36 | 81% ±44 | 1.8d | 0.61% | 0.48% | 134 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,272.42–7,324.19 (-1.0%) | 2.6 | 1.7% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 26% ±21 | 35% ±14 | 24% ±12 | 41% ±14 | 46 | 16% ±7 | 26% ±21 | 52% ±40 | 72% ±62 | 3.0d | 0.59% | 0.37% | 100 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 7,128.9 (-3.7%) | 9.0 | 8.9% | 15h | 5.1d ago · 48× | 11% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 34% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±14 | 25% ±34 | 40% ±55 | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.41% | 114 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,046.55 (-4.8%) | 12 | 0.2% | 12m | 6.3d ago · 41× | 4% ±7 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 10% ±19 | 14% ±34 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 177 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 7,401.76 | 7,355.69 | 7,443.74 | stop | -0.98% |