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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-05-21 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 7,460.65–7,488.89 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 1.1% | 2h | 21.1d ago · 30× | 77% ±27 | 27% ±18 | 4% ±8 | 69% ±19 | 23 | 46% ±14 | 76% ±28 | 88% ±37 | 94% | 18h | 0.32% | 0.65% | 52 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,458.36 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 1.5% | 2h | 5.2d ago · 66× | 72% ±18 | 34% ±12 | 42% ±12 | 23% ±11 | 61 | 51% ±8 | 72% ±17 | 81% ±25 | 89% ±30 | 4h | 0.55% | 0.19% | 154 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,440.06 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.2% | 5h | 5.1d ago · 71× | 81% ±16 | 24% ±9 | 48% ±11 | 28% ±10 | 79 | 63% ±8 | 81% ±16 | 88% ±23 | 91% ±33 | 1h | 0.47% | 0.16% | 138 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,438.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,380.65–7,432.42 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.9% | 7h | 5.2d ago · 62× | 78% ±19 | 27% ±11 | 23% ±10 | 50% ±12 | 63 | 59% ±9 | 78% ±19 | 90% ±24 | 93% ±29 | 2h | 0.47% | 0.49% | 114 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 7,425.23 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 7.0% | 11h | 7.2d ago · 75× | 72% ±19 | 27% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 36% ±11 | 70 | 53% ±9 | 72% ±19 | 85% ±26 | 93% ±29 | 3h | 0.48% | 0.27% | 127 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC | 7,392.74–7,394.77 (-0.6%) | 1.4 | 8.1% | 13h | 5.2d ago · 63× | 50% ±26 | 16% ±10 | 46% ±13 | 38% ±13 | 54 | 30% ±10 | 50% ±26 | 72% ±39 | 80% ±56 | 1.3d | 0.51% | 0.34% | 85 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,366.81–7,370.22 (-0.9%) | 2.2 | 4.9% | 9h | 7.0d ago · 67× | 30% ±18 | 26% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 38% ±12 | 68 | 12% ±5 | 30% ±18 | 48% ±35 | 69% ±45 | 3.4d | 0.62% | 0.47% | 151 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,272.42–7,319.48 (-1.6%) | 3.9 | 0.7% | 1h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 21% ±19 | 35% ±14 | 24% ±12 | 41% ±14 | 46 | 8% ±5 | 21% ±18 | 49% ±40 | 63% ±55 | 3.0d | 0.59% | 0.37% | 112 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 7,128.9 (-4.2%) | 10 | 8.8% | 15h | 5.1d ago · 48× | 10% ±15 | 28% ±13 | 34% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 4% ±4 | 10% ±14 | 24% ±34 | 38% ±55 | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.41% | 105 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,046.55 (-5.3%) | 13 | 0.2% | 12m | 6.3d ago · 41× | 3% ±6 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 2% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±18 | 12% ±32 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 188 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 7,438.8 | 7,440.06 | 7,366.81 | target | +0.89% |