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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-05-22 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.20) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,474.41 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 7,449.73–7,452.92 (-0.3%) | 0.7 | 3.6% | 5h | 5.2d ago · 52× | 64% ±24 | 20% ±11 | 44% ±14 | 37% ±14 | 47 | 46% ±10 | 64% ±24 | 82% ±34 | 88% ±46 | 14h | 0.41% | 0.22% | 91 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,380.65–7,432.42 (-0.6%) | 1.4 | 5.3% | 8h | 5.2d ago · 62× | 59% ±21 | 27% ±11 | 23% ±10 | 50% ±12 | 63 | 32% ±8 | 58% ±21 | 72% ±33 | 80% ±45 | 22h | 0.47% | 0.49% | 127 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,424.03–7,424.48 (-0.7%) | 1.7 | 7.2% | 11h | 5.2d ago · 75× | 39% ±23 | 24% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 70 | 17% ±7 | 40% ±23 | 71% ±36 | 84% ±42 | 1.9d | 0.51% | 0.28% | 107 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,399.48 (-1.0%) | 2.5 | 7.8% | 12h | 14.1d ago · 30× | 27% ±33 | 10% ±11 | 53% ±19 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 18% ±11 | 27% ±33 | 41% ±68 | 65% | 4.9d | 0.43% | 0.43% | 43 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,377.71–7,381.76 (-1.2%) | 3.1 | 4.9% | 9h | 7.0d ago · 67× | 23% ±15 | 26% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 38% ±12 | 68 | 7% ±4 | 23% ±15 | 43% ±29 | 62% ±42 | 4.8d | 0.62% | 0.47% | 189 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 7,272.42–7,319.48 (-2.1%) | 5.2 | 0.7% | 1h | 14.1d ago · 54× | 16% ±18 | 35% ±14 | 24% ±12 | 41% ±14 | 46 | 2% ±3 | 16% ±18 | 43% ±43 | 53% ±69 | 6.0d | 0.59% | 0.37% | 97 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 7,128.9 (-4.6%) | 12 | 8.6% | 14h | 5.0d ago · 48× | 9% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 34% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 5% ±4 | 9% ±14 | 23% ±37 | 34% ±65 | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.41% | 98 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,046.55 (-5.7%) | 14 | <0.1% | 7m | 6.2d ago · 41× | 3% ±6 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 2% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 10% ±18 | 13% ±33 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 179 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 7,474.41 | 7,542.38 | 7,424.03 | expired | -0.00% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 7,474.41 | 7,549.62 | 7,424.48 | expired | -0.00% |