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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-06-11 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,565.36–7,620.9 (+3.1%) | 4.6 | 12.0% | 16h | 4.7d ago · 78× | 8% ±10 | 29% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 31% ±10 | 84 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±10 | 18% ±24 | 47% ±49 | 6.1d | 0.47% | 0.24% | 171 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,463.85–7,475.34 (+1.7%) | 2.5 | 4.2% | 7h | 20.8d ago · 30× | 30% ±34 | 31% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 66% ±18 | 26 | 16% ±11 | 30% ±34 | 52% ±69 | 78% | 3.0d | 0.36% | 0.62% | 41 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 7,406.39–7,410.22 (+0.9%) | 1.4 | 10.5% | 15h | 5.9d ago · 44× | 58% ±31 | 26% ±14 | 36% ±16 | 38% ±16 | 35 | 33% ±12 | 57% ±31 | 70% ±52 | 84% | 1.7d | 0.60% | 0.51% | 60 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,402.56–7,429.38 (+0.9%) | 1.3 | 10.3% | 15h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 58% ±20 | 31% ±12 | 29% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 56 | 33% ±8 | 57% ±20 | 70% ±32 | 83% ±43 | 23h | 0.58% | 0.44% | 146 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,337.15 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 7,320.73 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.8% | 4h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 80% ±17 | 23% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 70 | 59% ±9 | 80% ±17 | 87% ±25 | 93% ±28 | 1h | 0.58% | 0.51% | 121 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,291.48–7,299.14 (-0.5%) | 0.8 | 3.2% | 5h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 68% ±23 | 32% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 40% ±14 | 50 | 52% ±10 | 68% ±23 | 77% ±37 | 90% ±42 | 3h | 0.55% | 0.37% | 96 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 7,337.15 | 7,589.18 | 7,270.79 | expired | +1.32% |