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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-06-12 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,620.9 (+2.9%) | 4.0 | 4.8% | 6h | 4.9d ago · 66× | 9% ±10 | 29% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 28% ±11 | 66 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±10 | 24% ±25 | 51% ±44 | 7.0d | 0.48% | 0.21% | 201 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 7,565.36–7,584.51 (+2.1%) | 3.0 | 12.3% | 17h | 4.9d ago · 51× | 13% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 34% ±13 | 52 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±14 | 28% ±33 | 62% ±55 | 5.5d | 0.49% | 0.28% | 133 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,463.85–7,475.34 (+0.7%) | 1.0 | 4.5% | 7h | 20.7d ago · 30× | 73% ±28 | 31% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 66% ±18 | 26 | 44% ±12 | 73% ±27 | 86% ±39 | 93% | 18h | 0.36% | 0.62% | 62 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,437.04–7,448.53 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 11.6% | 17h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 71% ±19 | 31% ±12 | 29% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 56 | 52% ±8 | 71% ±19 | 83% ±28 | 89% ±35 | 3h | 0.58% | 0.44% | 133 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,429.98 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 11.4% | 18h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 74% ±16 | 24% ±9 | 46% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 84 | 56% ±7 | 74% ±16 | 84% ±23 | 89% ±30 | 2h | 0.40% | 0.17% | 177 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,408.57 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 7D POC · 14D VAL | 7,391.07–7,406.39 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 10.9% | 16h | 5.9d ago · 75× | 69% ±21 | 26% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 73 | 51% ±9 | 69% ±21 | 80% ±32 | 88% ±36 | 8h | 0.61% | 0.40% | 108 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,314.46–7,333.61 (-1.0%) | 1.4 | 3.3% | 5h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 44% ±23 | 32% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 40% ±14 | 50 | 29% ±9 | 44% ±23 | 58% ±39 | 79% ±46 | 2.0d | 0.55% | 0.37% | 108 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,283.06 (-1.7%) | 2.4 | 3.3% | 4h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 30% ±17 | 23% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 70 | 14% ±5 | 30% ±17 | 48% ±33 | 69% ±46 | 3.2d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 160 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 7,408.57 | 7,429.98 | 7,283.06 | target | +0.30% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 7,408.57 | 7,584.51 | 7,349.7 | expired | +0.30% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 7,408.57 | 7,565.36 | 7,367.78 | expired | +0.30% |