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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-06-12 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D POC · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,611.32–7,620.9 (+2.4%) | 3.3 | 7.5% | 9h | 4.8d ago · 66× | 13% ±12 | 31% ±11 | 40% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 66 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±12 | 30% ±27 | 59% ±43 | 5.7d | 0.49% | 0.22% | 190 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 7,565.36 (+1.8%) | 2.4 | 12.4% | 17h | 4.9d ago · 46× | 16% ±18 | 26% ±13 | 37% ±14 | 37% ±14 | 43 | 5% ±4 | 16% ±18 | 35% ±42 | 61% ±68 | 5.1d | 0.47% | 0.30% | 97 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 7,463.85–7,475.34 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 4.8% | 8h | 20.7d ago · 30× | 75% ±27 | 30% ±17 | 3% ±7 | 67% ±18 | 27 | 48% ±13 | 75% ±27 | 87% ±38 | 93% | 6h | 0.37% | 0.62% | 58 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,453.71 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 7.9% | 12h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 74% ±16 | 24% ±9 | 46% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 84 | 57% ±7 | 74% ±16 | 85% ±22 | 90% ±30 | 2h | 0.40% | 0.17% | 174 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,437.04–7,448.53 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 11.9% | 18h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 77% ±20 | 31% ±12 | 29% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 56 | 60% ±9 | 77% ±20 | 89% ±25 | 94% ±32 | 1h | 0.58% | 0.44% | 104 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,434 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,406.39–7,433.21 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 11.9% | 18h | 4.8d ago · 62× | 79% ±19 | 29% ±11 | 22% ±10 | 49% ±12 | 70 | 63% ±9 | 79% ±19 | 89% ±25 | 92% ±37 | 1h | 0.49% | 0.48% | 104 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D POC · 14D VAL | 7,387.24–7,406.39 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 10.7% | 16h | 5.9d ago · 75× | 62% ±19 | 26% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 73 | 44% ±8 | 62% ±19 | 76% ±30 | 87% ±39 | 15h | 0.61% | 0.40% | 144 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,314.46–7,333.61 (-1.4%) | 1.9 | 3.4% | 5h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 37% ±22 | 32% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 40% ±14 | 50 | 23% ±8 | 37% ±22 | 56% ±40 | 77% ±48 | 2.1d | 0.55% | 0.37% | 108 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,316.35 (-1.6%) | 2.2 | 3.2% | 5h | 6.6d ago · 67× | 34% ±19 | 23% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 70 | 15% ±6 | 34% ±19 | 49% ±35 | 70% ±45 | 3.1d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 150 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 7,434 | 7,565.36 | 7,367.78 | expired | -0.04% |